Hvidovre IF – Aarhus Fremad odds
Hvidovre IF went into the match as clear favourites against Aarhus Fremad.
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1st Half
2nd Half
Hvidovre IF – Aarhus Fremad: closing odds analysis
- Hvidovre IF were favourites: the closing odds implied a 48% chance of a home win, 26% for Aarhus Fremad and 26% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Hvidovre IF 1.98 at Oddset, the draw 3.70 at bwin, Aarhus Fremad 4.40 at VBET.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Aarhus Fremad shortened from 4.50 at the opening to 4.40 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 53% chance of three or more goals and 57% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Hvidovre IF or Aarhus Fremad?
Hvidovre IF, clearly: the closing odds put 23.0 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Hvidovre IF – Aarhus Fremad?
It depended on the outcome: Oddset was best on Hvidovre IF, bwin on the draw and VBET on Aarhus Fremad. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (95.3%) and Mr Green the least (89.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | HVIDOVRE IF | DRAW | AARHUS FREMAD | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 1.85 | 3.55 | 4.40 best price | 95.3% |
| Betinia | 1.96 | 3.69 | 3.59 | 94.4% |
| CampoBet | 1.96 | 3.69 | 3.59 | 94.4% |
| Casinomoto | 1.96 | 3.69 | 3.59 | 94.4% |
| Betoro | 1.96 | 3.69 | 3.59 | 94.4% |
| Casino House | 1.96 | 3.60 | 3.60 | 93.8% |
| Betano | 1.93 | 3.60 | 3.65 | 93.5% |
| Oddset | 1.98 best price | 3.50 | 3.50 | 92.9% |
| SpreadEx | 1.91 | 3.60 | 3.60 | 92.6% |
| Bet25 | 1.93 | 3.55 | 3.55 | 92.5% |
| ComeOn | 1.91 | 3.57 | 3.52 | 91.9% |
| Stake | 1.79 | 3.60 | 3.95 | 91.8% |
| bwin | 1.72 | 3.70 best price | 4.10 | 91.3% |
| GetLucky | 1.89 | 3.53 | 3.49 | 91.0% |
| Casinostuen | 1.89 | 3.53 | 3.49 | 91.0% |
| Betmaster | 1.93 | 3.35 | 3.40 | 90.0% |
| 888sport | 1.90 | 3.30 | 3.40 | 89.0% |
| Mr Green | 1.90 | 3.30 | 3.40 | 89.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.98 | 3.70 | 4.40 | 99.7% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.72–1.98 · 15.1% | 3.30–3.70 · 12.1% | 3.40–4.40 · 29.4% | 89.0–95.3% |
How did the Hvidovre IF – Aarhus Fremad odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Aarhus Fremad shortened from 4.50 when odds opened on 3 Nov to 4.40 at kick-off, a 2.2% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | HVIDOVRE IF | DRAW | AARHUS FREMAD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov (open) | 2.02 | 3.75 | 4.50 |
| Fri 6 Nov | 1.95 | 3.75 | 4.25 |
| Mon 9 Nov (kick-off) | 1.98 | 3.70 | 4.40 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 56.5%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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