Villarreal – Getafe odds
Villarreal went into the match as heavy favourites against Getafe.
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Villarreal – Getafe: closing odds analysis
- Villarreal were favourites: the closing odds implied a 62% chance of a home win, 16% for Getafe and 23% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Villarreal 1.57 at Betano, the draw 4.40 at bwin, Getafe 6.50 at Betano.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.7%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Getafe drifted from 6.00 at the opening to 6.50 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 53% chance of three or more goals and 50% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Villarreal or Getafe?
Villarreal, by a distance: the closing odds put 46.0 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Villarreal – Getafe?
It depended on the outcome: Betano was best on Villarreal, bwin on the draw and Betano on Getafe. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.7%) and Bet25 the least (91.5%).
| BOOKMAKER | VILLARREAL | DRAW | GETAFE | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.57 best price | 4.30 | 6.50 best price | 97.7% |
| Merkur Bets | 1.53 | 4.33 | 6.50 best price | 96.4% |
| Spilhuset | 1.54 | 4.30 | 6.30 | 96.1% |
| Oddset | 1.55 | 4.25 | 6.00 | 95.5% |
| VBET | 1.54 | 4.30 | 6.00 | 95.4% |
| Expekt | 1.52 | 4.33 | 6.25 | 95.4% |
| LeoVegas | 1.55 | 4.30 | 5.75 | 95.1% |
| Betinia | 1.55 | 4.00 | 6.33 | 95.0% |
| CampoBet | 1.55 | 4.00 | 6.33 | 95.0% |
| Casinomoto | 1.55 | 4.00 | 6.33 | 95.0% |
| Betoro | 1.55 | 4.00 | 6.33 | 95.0% |
| Casino House | 1.55 | 4.00 | 6.33 | 95.0% |
| Unibet | 1.52 | 4.25 | 6.10 | 94.6% |
| Stake | 1.50 | 4.40 best price | 6.00 | 94.3% |
| ComeOn | 1.52 | 4.26 | 5.94 | 94.3% |
| bwin | 1.53 | 4.40 best price | 5.50 | 94.1% |
| SpreadEx | 1.53 | 4.20 | 5.80 | 94.1% |
| Betmaster | 1.54 | 4.10 | 5.80 | 93.8% |
| GetLucky | 1.52 | 4.22 | 5.79 | 93.7% |
| Casinostuen | 1.50 | 4.22 | 5.89 | 93.2% |
| 888sport | 1.50 | 4.00 | 5.75 | 91.7% |
| Mr Green | 1.50 | 4.00 | 5.75 | 91.7% |
| Bet25 | 1.48 | 4.30 | 5.40 | 91.5% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.57 | 4.40 | 6.50 | 98.2% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.48–1.57 · 6.1% | 4.00–4.40 · 10.0% | 5.40–6.50 · 20.4% | 91.5–97.7% |
How did the Villarreal – Getafe odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Getafe drifted from 6.00 when odds opened on 26 Oct to 6.50 at kick-off, a 8.3% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | VILLARREAL | DRAW | GETAFE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 26 Oct (open) | 1.60 | 4.10 | 6.00 |
| Mon 2 Nov | 1.50 | 4.60 | 7.10 |
| Sun 8 Nov (kick-off) | 1.57 | 4.40 | 6.50 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 49.8%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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