Monza – Atalanta odds
Atalanta went into the match as clear favourites against Monza.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Corners
Cards
Monza – Atalanta: closing odds analysis
- Atalanta were favourites: the closing odds implied a 48% chance of an away win, 27% for Monza and 25% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Monza 3.66 at VBET, the draw 3.87 at VBET, Atalanta 2.00 at Betinia.
- Betinia had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Monza shortened from 4.75 at the opening to 4.10 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 60% chance of three or more goals.
Who were the favourites, Monza or Atalanta?
Atalanta, clearly: the closing odds put 20.0 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Monza – Atalanta?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Monza, VBET on the draw and Betinia on Atalanta. Across all three outcomes Betinia paid out the most (95.3%) and Bet25 the least (87.3%).
| BOOKMAKER | MONZA | DRAW | ATALANTA | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betinia | 3.50 | 3.80 | 2.00 best price | 95.3% |
| CampoBet | 3.50 | 3.80 | 2.00 best price | 95.3% |
| Casinomoto | 3.50 | 3.80 | 2.00 best price | 95.3% |
| Betoro | 3.50 | 3.80 | 2.00 best price | 95.3% |
| Casino House | 3.50 | 3.80 | 2.00 best price | 95.3% |
| VBET | 3.66 best price | 3.87 best price | 1.93 | 95.3% |
| Oddset | 3.45 | 3.85 | 1.99 | 95.0% |
| Stake | 3.55 | 3.85 | 1.95 | 94.9% |
| Betmaster | 3.40 | 3.65 | 1.99 | 93.4% |
| ComeOn | 3.37 | 3.76 | 1.96 | 93.2% |
| GetLucky | 3.34 | 3.73 | 1.94 | 92.3% |
| Casinostuen | 3.34 | 3.73 | 1.94 | 92.3% |
| 888sport | 3.30 | 3.60 | 1.95 | 91.4% |
| Mr Green | 3.30 | 3.60 | 1.95 | 91.4% |
| Bet25 | 2.90 | 3.50 | 1.94 | 87.3% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.66 | 3.87 | 2.00 | 96.9% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.90–3.66 · 26.2% | 3.50–3.87 · 10.6% | 1.93–2.00 · 3.6% | 87.3–95.3% |
How did the Monza – Atalanta odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Monza shortened from 4.75 when odds opened on 1 Nov to 4.10 at kick-off, a 13.7% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | MONZA | DRAW | ATALANTA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 1 Nov (open) | 4.75 | 4.25 | 2.03 |
| Thu 5 Nov | 3.35 | 3.83 | 2.04 |
| Sun 8 Nov (kick-off) | 4.10 | 4.00 | 2.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
More Serie A odds
- Como – CagliariSat 21 Nov · 15:00
- Lazio – LecceSat 21 Nov · 15:00
- Parma – RomaSat 21 Nov · 18:00
- Napoli – TorinoSat 21 Nov · 20:45
- Juventus – VeneziaSun 22 Nov · 12:30
- Bologna – UdineseSun 22 Nov · 15:00
- Sassuolo – GenoaSun 22 Nov · 15:00
- AC Milan – FrosinoneSun 22 Nov · 18:00
- Atalanta – InterSun 22 Nov · 20:45
- Monza – FiorentinaMon 23 Nov · 20:45
- Serie A odds ›
The odds imply probabilities; they are not predictions. OddsStat is a comparison service, not a bookmaker. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.