Le Havre – Lorient odds
Lorient went into the match as narrow favourites against Le Havre.
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Le Havre – Lorient: closing odds analysis
- Lorient were favourites: the closing odds implied a 39% chance of an away win, 32% for Le Havre and 29% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Le Havre 3.15 at Stake, the draw 3.33 at CampoBet, Lorient 2.50 at SpreadEx.
- Betinia had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Le Havre drifted from 2.75 at the opening to 3.12 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 47% chance of three or more goals and 53% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Le Havre or Lorient?
Lorient, but only just: the closing odds put 6.3 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Le Havre – Lorient?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Le Havre, CampoBet on the draw and SpreadEx on Lorient. Across all three outcomes Betinia paid out the most (95.3%) and Bet25 the least (91.7%).
| BOOKMAKER | LE HAVRE | DRAW | LORIENT | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betinia | 3.00 | 3.25 | 2.45 | 95.3% |
| Casinomoto | 3.00 | 3.25 | 2.45 | 95.3% |
| Betoro | 3.00 | 3.25 | 2.45 | 95.3% |
| Casino House | 3.00 | 3.25 | 2.45 | 95.3% |
| Oddset | 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.49 | 95.3% |
| VBET | 3.11 | 3.26 | 2.37 | 95.2% |
| CampoBet | 3.00 | 3.33 best price | 2.40 | 95.2% |
| Stake | 3.15 best price | 3.10 | 2.40 | 94.6% |
| SpreadEx | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.50 best price | 94.6% |
| bwin | 2.87 | 3.30 | 2.45 | 94.4% |
| Betmaster | 2.85 | 3.15 | 2.48 | 93.3% |
| ComeOn | 2.82 | 3.22 | 2.45 | 93.2% |
| GetLucky | 2.80 | 3.19 | 2.42 | 92.3% |
| Casinostuen | 2.80 | 3.19 | 2.42 | 92.3% |
| 888sport | 2.80 | 3.20 | 2.40 | 92.1% |
| Mr Green | 2.80 | 3.20 | 2.40 | 92.1% |
| Bet25 | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.40 | 91.7% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.15 | 3.33 | 2.50 | 98.3% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.70–3.15 · 16.7% | 3.10–3.33 · 7.4% | 2.37–2.50 · 5.5% | 91.7–95.3% |
How did the Le Havre – Lorient odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Le Havre drifted from 2.75 when odds opened on 26 Oct to 3.12 at kick-off, a 13.5% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | LE HAVRE | DRAW | LORIENT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 26 Oct (open) | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.64 |
| Sun 1 Nov | 2.86 | 3.40 | 2.55 |
| Sun 8 Nov (kick-off) | 3.12 | 3.33 | 2.50 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 52.5%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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