Fiorentina – Juventus odds
Juventus went into the match as clear favourites against Fiorentina.
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Fiorentina – Juventus: closing odds analysis
- Juventus were favourites: the closing odds implied a 43% chance of an away win, 29% for Fiorentina and 28% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Fiorentina 3.38 at VBET, the draw 3.45 at Stake, Juventus 2.25 at bwin.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.1%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Fiorentina shortened from 4.50 at the opening to 3.38 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 51% chance of three or more goals and 56% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Fiorentina or Juventus?
Juventus, clearly: the closing odds put 14.8 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Fiorentina – Juventus?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Fiorentina, Stake on the draw and bwin on Juventus. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (96.1%) and Bet25 the least (90.4%).
| BOOKMAKER | FIORENTINA | DRAW | JUVENTUS | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 3.38 best price | 3.40 | 2.22 | 96.1% |
| Betinia | 3.33 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 95.3% |
| CampoBet | 3.33 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 95.3% |
| Casinomoto | 3.33 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 95.3% |
| Betoro | 3.33 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 95.3% |
| Casino House | 3.33 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 95.3% |
| Oddset | 3.35 | 3.35 | 2.19 | 94.9% |
| ComeOn | 3.32 | 3.32 | 2.19 | 94.4% |
| Stake | 3.30 | 3.45 best price | 2.14 | 94.3% |
| bwin | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.25 best price | 94.2% |
| GetLucky | 3.29 | 3.34 | 2.16 | 93.8% |
| Casinostuen | 3.29 | 3.29 | 2.17 | 93.6% |
| Betmaster | 3.30 | 3.20 | 2.20 | 93.5% |
| 888sport | 3.30 | 3.25 | 2.10 | 92.0% |
| Mr Green | 3.30 | 3.25 | 2.10 | 92.0% |
| Bet25 | 3.15 | 3.35 | 2.04 | 90.4% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.38 | 3.45 | 2.25 | 97.1% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 3.10–3.38 · 9.0% | 3.20–3.45 · 7.8% | 2.04–2.25 · 10.3% | 90.4–96.1% |
How did the Fiorentina – Juventus odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Fiorentina shortened from 4.50 when odds opened on 1 Nov to 3.38 at kick-off, a 24.9% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | FIORENTINA | DRAW | JUVENTUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 1 Nov (open) | 4.50 | 3.95 | 1.90 |
| Thu 5 Nov | 3.53 | 3.60 | 2.07 |
| Sun 8 Nov (kick-off) | 3.38 | 3.45 | 2.25 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 56.1%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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