FC Midtjylland – SønderjyskE odds
FC Midtjylland went into the match as heavy favourites against SønderjyskE.
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2nd Half
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FC Midtjylland – SønderjyskE: closing odds analysis
- FC Midtjylland were favourites: the closing odds implied a 70% chance of a home win, 13% for SønderjyskE and 17% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: FC Midtjylland 1.42 at Merkur Bets, the draw 6.00 at Oddset, SønderjyskE 9.00 at Unibet.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on FC Midtjylland drifted from 1.31 at the opening to 1.42 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 66% chance of three or more goals and 56% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, FC Midtjylland or SønderjyskE?
FC Midtjylland, by a distance: the closing odds put 57.0 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on FC Midtjylland – SønderjyskE?
It depended on the outcome: Merkur Bets was best on FC Midtjylland, Oddset on the draw and Unibet on SønderjyskE. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (97.5%) and Betmaster the least (90.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | FC MIDTJYLLAND | DRAW | SØNDERJYSKE | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 1.38 | 5.90 | 7.60 | 97.5% |
| ComeOn | 1.38 | 5.81 | 7.54 | 97.1% |
| Unibet | 1.34 | 5.80 | 9.00 best price | 97.1% |
| Casinomoto | 1.36 | 5.50 | 8.00 | 96.0% |
| Spilhuset | 1.35 | 6.00 best price | 7.20 | 95.6% |
| Casino House | 1.35 | 5.50 | 8.00 | 95.5% |
| Oddset | 1.33 | 6.00 best price | 7.75 | 95.5% |
| Merkur Bets | 1.42 best price | 5.00 | 7.00 | 95.4% |
| Expekt | 1.38 | 5.50 | 7.00 | 95.3% |
| LeoVegas | 1.36 | 5.75 | 7.00 | 95.2% |
| bwin | 1.39 | 5.25 | 7.00 | 95.0% |
| GetLucky | 1.33 | 5.69 | 7.36 | 94.0% |
| SpreadEx | 1.33 | 5.80 | 7.00 | 93.9% |
| Betoro | 1.33 | 5.33 | 7.50 | 93.2% |
| Casinostuen | 1.32 | 5.59 | 7.26 | 93.1% |
| 888sport | 1.33 | 5.50 | 7.00 | 92.9% |
| Mr Green | 1.33 | 5.50 | 7.00 | 92.9% |
| Betinia | 1.33 | 5.33 | 7.00 | 92.4% |
| CampoBet | 1.33 | 5.33 | 7.00 | 92.4% |
| Bet25 | 1.32 | 5.80 | 6.40 | 92.1% |
| Betmaster | 1.33 | 5.20 | 6.40 | 90.9% |
| Stake | 1.36 | 5.40 | — | — |
| BEST PRICE | 1.42 | 6.00 | 9.00 | 101.7% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.32–1.42 · 7.3% | 5.00–6.00 · 20.0% | 6.40–9.00 · 40.6% | 90.9–97.5% |
How did the FC Midtjylland – SønderjyskE odds move before kick-off?
The best price on FC Midtjylland drifted from 1.31 when odds opened on 1 Nov to 1.42 at kick-off, a 8.3% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | FC MIDTJYLLAND | DRAW | SØNDERJYSKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 1 Nov (open) | 1.31 | 6.00 | 8.50 |
| Wed 4 Nov | 1.37 | 6.33 | 8.50 |
| Sun 8 Nov (kick-off) | 1.42 | 6.00 | 9.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 56.5%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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