Elche – Real Betis odds
Real Betis went into the match as clear favourites against Elche.
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Elche – Real Betis: closing odds analysis
- Real Betis were favourites: the closing odds implied a 49% chance of an away win, 26% for Elche and 24% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Elche 4.20 at VBET, the draw 4.20 at Stake, Real Betis 2.10 at bwin.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.9%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Elche drifted from 3.80 at the opening to 4.30 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 60% chance of three or more goals and 63% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Elche or Real Betis?
Real Betis, clearly: the closing odds put 23.2 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Elche – Real Betis?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Elche, Stake on the draw and bwin on Real Betis. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.9%) and Bet25 the least (89.4%).
| BOOKMAKER | ELCHE | DRAW | REAL BETIS | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 3.75 | 4.00 | 1.98 | 97.9% |
| Merkur Bets | 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.85 | 96.2% |
| Spilhuset | 4.10 | 3.90 | 1.84 | 95.8% |
| ComeOn | 3.66 | 3.86 | 1.94 | 95.4% |
| Betinia | 3.60 | 4.00 | 1.92 | 95.4% |
| Casinomoto | 3.60 | 4.00 | 1.92 | 95.4% |
| Betoro | 3.60 | 4.00 | 1.92 | 95.4% |
| Casino House | 3.60 | 4.00 | 1.92 | 95.4% |
| Expekt | 4.00 | 4.10 | 1.80 | 95.3% |
| Oddset | 3.35 | 3.70 | 2.08 | 95.3% |
| VBET | 4.20 best price | 3.99 | 1.78 | 95.2% |
| CampoBet | 3.50 | 3.60 | 2.05 | 95.1% |
| Unibet | 3.60 | 3.95 | 1.91 | 94.8% |
| LeoVegas | 3.60 | 3.90 | 1.92 | 94.8% |
| GetLucky | 3.63 | 3.83 | 1.92 | 94.6% |
| Casinostuen | 3.63 | 3.83 | 1.92 | 94.6% |
| SpreadEx | 4.00 | 3.80 | 1.83 | 94.5% |
| bwin | 3.20 | 3.70 | 2.10 best price | 94.4% |
| Stake | 4.10 | 4.20 best price | 1.73 | 94.3% |
| Betmaster | 3.55 | 3.65 | 1.94 | 93.4% |
| 888sport | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.05 | 91.9% |
| Mr Green | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.05 | 91.9% |
| Bet25 | 3.30 | 3.75 | 1.82 | 89.4% |
| BEST PRICE | 4.20 | 4.20 | 2.10 | 105.0% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 3.10–4.20 · 35.5% | 3.60–4.20 · 16.7% | 1.73–2.10 · 21.4% | 89.4–97.9% |
How did the Elche – Real Betis odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Elche drifted from 3.80 when odds opened on 26 Oct to 4.30 at kick-off, a 13.2% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | ELCHE | DRAW | REAL BETIS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 26 Oct (open) | 3.80 | 3.90 | 2.00 |
| Mon 2 Nov | 3.25 | 3.74 | 2.22 |
| Sun 8 Nov (kick-off) | 4.30 | 4.10 | 2.08 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 62.8%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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