Celta Vigo – Levante odds
Celta Vigo went into the match as heavy favourites against Levante.
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Celta Vigo – Levante: closing odds analysis
- Celta Vigo were favourites: the closing odds implied a 52% chance of a home win, 21% for Levante and 27% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Celta Vigo 1.87 at Betano, the draw 3.70 at bwin, Levante 4.75 at Betinia.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.8%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Levante drifted from 4.25 at the opening to 4.75 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 51% chance of three or more goals and 53% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Celta Vigo or Levante?
Celta Vigo, by a distance: the closing odds put 30.5 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Celta Vigo – Levante?
It depended on the outcome: Betano was best on Celta Vigo, bwin on the draw and Betinia on Levante. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.8%) and Bet25 the least (88.7%).
| BOOKMAKER | CELTA VIGO | DRAW | LEVANTE | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.87 best price | 3.70 best price | 4.60 | 97.8% |
| Merkur Bets | 1.85 | 3.70 best price | 4.33 | 96.1% |
| Spilhuset | 1.82 | 3.67 | 4.50 | 95.8% |
| LeoVegas | 1.83 | 3.70 best price | 4.33 | 95.5% |
| Expekt | 1.83 | 3.70 best price | 4.30 | 95.4% |
| VBET | 1.82 | 3.58 | 4.50 | 95.1% |
| Betinia | 1.83 | 3.40 | 4.75 best price | 95.1% |
| CampoBet | 1.83 | 3.40 | 4.75 best price | 95.1% |
| Casinomoto | 1.83 | 3.40 | 4.75 best price | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 1.83 | 3.40 | 4.75 best price | 95.1% |
| Casino House | 1.83 | 3.40 | 4.75 best price | 95.1% |
| Unibet | 1.80 | 3.55 | 4.60 | 94.8% |
| SpreadEx | 1.85 | 3.50 | 4.33 | 94.6% |
| Oddset | 1.82 | 3.65 | 4.25 | 94.5% |
| ComeOn | 1.80 | 3.62 | 4.36 | 94.2% |
| Stake | 1.79 | 3.70 best price | 4.30 | 94.2% |
| bwin | 1.80 | 3.70 best price | 4.20 | 94.0% |
| Betmaster | 1.82 | 3.50 | 4.30 | 93.7% |
| GetLucky | 1.79 | 3.58 | 4.32 | 93.5% |
| Casinostuen | 1.79 | 3.58 | 4.32 | 93.5% |
| 888sport | 1.80 | 3.50 | 4.20 | 92.6% |
| Mr Green | 1.80 | 3.50 | 4.20 | 92.6% |
| Bet25 | 1.74 | 3.50 | 3.75 | 88.7% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.87 | 3.70 | 4.75 | 98.5% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.74–1.87 · 7.5% | 3.40–3.70 · 8.8% | 3.75–4.75 · 26.7% | 88.7–97.8% |
How did the Celta Vigo – Levante odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Levante drifted from 4.25 when odds opened on 26 Oct to 4.75 at kick-off, a 11.8% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | CELTA VIGO | DRAW | LEVANTE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 26 Oct (open) | 1.90 | 3.60 | 4.25 |
| Mon 2 Nov | 1.88 | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| Sun 8 Nov (kick-off) | 1.87 | 3.70 | 4.75 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 53.4%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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