Brighton – Brentford odds
Brighton went into the match as heavy favourites against Brentford.
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Brighton – Brentford: closing odds analysis
- Brighton were favourites: the closing odds implied a 51% chance of a home win, 24% for Brentford and 25% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Brighton 1.91 at Unibet, the draw 4.10 at Betano, Brentford 4.33 at Merkur Bets.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.8%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Brentford drifted from 4.00 at the opening to 4.33 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 59% chance of three or more goals and 59% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Brighton or Brentford?
Brighton, by a distance: the closing odds put 26.8 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Brighton – Brentford?
It depended on the outcome: Unibet was best on Brighton, Betano on the draw and Merkur Bets on Brentford. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.8%) and Mr Green the least (92.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | BRIGHTON | DRAW | BRENTFORD | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.88 | 4.10 best price | 4.05 | 97.8% |
| Unibet | 1.91 best price | 3.90 | 4.10 | 97.7% |
| Merkur Bets | 1.87 | 3.70 | 4.33 best price | 96.5% |
| ComeOn | 1.89 | 3.96 | 3.91 | 96.4% |
| Expekt | 1.83 | 3.90 | 4.10 | 95.6% |
| Spilhuset | 1.86 | 3.85 | 4.00 | 95.5% |
| SpreadEx | 1.87 | 3.80 | 4.00 | 95.4% |
| LeoVegas | 1.88 | 3.90 | 3.85 | 95.4% |
| GetLucky | 1.87 | 3.92 | 3.87 | 95.4% |
| Casinostuen | 1.87 | 3.92 | 3.87 | 95.4% |
| VBET | 1.80 | 3.89 | 4.20 | 95.2% |
| Oddset | 1.88 | 3.85 | 3.85 | 95.1% |
| Betinia | 1.85 | 4.00 | 3.80 | 94.9% |
| CampoBet | 1.85 | 4.00 | 3.80 | 94.9% |
| Casinomoto | 1.85 | 4.00 | 3.80 | 94.9% |
| Betoro | 1.85 | 4.00 | 3.80 | 94.9% |
| Casino House | 1.85 | 4.00 | 3.80 | 94.9% |
| bwin | 1.87 | 3.90 | 3.70 | 94.2% |
| Stake | 1.80 | 3.85 | 4.05 | 94.1% |
| Betmaster | 1.89 | 3.62 | 3.82 | 93.7% |
| Bet25 | 1.90 | 3.75 | 3.60 | 93.4% |
| 888sport | 1.83 | 3.75 | 3.80 | 92.9% |
| Mr Green | 1.83 | 3.75 | 3.80 | 92.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.91 | 4.10 | 4.33 | 100.2% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.80–1.91 · 6.1% | 3.62–4.10 · 13.3% | 3.60–4.33 · 20.4% | 92.9–97.8% |
How did the Brighton – Brentford odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Brentford drifted from 4.00 when odds opened on 25 Oct to 4.33 at kick-off, a 8.3% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | BRIGHTON | DRAW | BRENTFORD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 25 Oct (open) | 1.85 | 3.95 | 4.00 |
| Mon 2 Nov | 1.95 | 4.05 | 3.75 |
| Sun 8 Nov (kick-off) | 1.91 | 4.10 | 4.33 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 59.0%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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