Brest – Lyon odds
Brest and Lyon went into the match almost level in the odds.
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2nd Half
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Cards
Brest – Lyon: closing odds analysis
- No clear favourite: the closing odds implied 35% for Brest, 27% for a draw and 38% for Lyon.
- Best closing odds: Brest 2.80 at CampoBet, the draw 3.50 at bwin, Lyon 2.55 at VBET.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.2%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Lyon drifted from 2.40 at the opening to 2.54 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 54% chance of three or more goals and 57% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Brest or Lyon?
Neither side, really: the closing odds put only 3.3 percentage points between Brest and Lyon.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Brest – Lyon?
It depended on the outcome: CampoBet was best on Brest, bwin on the draw and VBET on Lyon. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (95.2%) and Bet25 the least (90.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | BREST | DRAW | LYON | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 2.76 | 3.38 | 2.55 best price | 95.2% |
| CampoBet | 2.80 best price | 3.50 best price | 2.45 | 95.1% |
| Betinia | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.54 | 95.1% |
| Casinomoto | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.54 | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.54 | 95.1% |
| Casino House | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.54 | 95.1% |
| Oddset | 2.75 | 3.45 | 2.49 | 94.8% |
| bwin | 2.70 | 3.50 best price | 2.50 | 94.7% |
| SpreadEx | 2.75 | 3.50 best price | 2.45 | 94.6% |
| ComeOn | 2.72 | 3.47 | 2.48 | 94.4% |
| Stake | 2.70 | 3.45 | 2.50 | 94.3% |
| Betmaster | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.48 | 93.5% |
| GetLucky | 2.70 | 3.43 | 2.45 | 93.5% |
| Casinostuen | 2.70 | 3.43 | 2.45 | 93.5% |
| 888sport | 2.62 | 3.40 | 2.40 | 91.5% |
| Mr Green | 2.62 | 3.40 | 2.40 | 91.5% |
| Bet25 | 2.60 | 3.45 | 2.35 | 90.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.55 | 96.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.60–2.80 · 7.7% | 3.30–3.50 · 6.1% | 2.35–2.55 · 8.5% | 90.9–95.2% |
How did the Brest – Lyon odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Lyon drifted from 2.40 when odds opened on 26 Oct to 2.54 at kick-off, a 5.8% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | BREST | DRAW | LYON |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 26 Oct (open) | 2.90 | 3.70 | 2.40 |
| Sun 1 Nov | 2.90 | 3.70 | 2.35 |
| Sun 8 Nov (kick-off) | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.54 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 57.3%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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