Wrexham – Wolves odds
Wolves went into the match as clear favourites against Wrexham.
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Wrexham – Wolves: closing odds analysis
- Wolves were favourites: the closing odds implied a 45% chance of an away win, 27% for Wrexham and 28% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Wrexham 3.66 at Betinia, the draw 3.60 at bwin, Wolves 2.25 at bwin.
- Betinia had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Wrexham drifted from 3.00 at the opening to 3.66 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 48% chance of three or more goals and 52% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Wrexham or Wolves?
Wolves, clearly: the closing odds put 18.4 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Wrexham – Wolves?
It depended on the outcome: Betinia was best on Wrexham, bwin on the draw and bwin on Wolves. Across all three outcomes Betinia paid out the most (95.3%) and Betmaster the least (90.2%).
| BOOKMAKER | WREXHAM | DRAW | WOLVES | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betinia | 3.66 best price | 3.33 | 2.10 | 95.3% |
| CampoBet | 3.66 best price | 3.33 | 2.10 | 95.3% |
| Betoro | 3.66 best price | 3.33 | 2.10 | 95.3% |
| Casino House | 3.66 best price | 3.33 | 2.10 | 95.3% |
| Betano | 3.60 | 3.35 | 2.10 | 95.0% |
| Oddset | 3.50 | 3.40 | 2.10 | 94.7% |
| Stake | 3.60 | 3.35 | 2.07 | 94.4% |
| Casinomoto | 3.60 | 3.25 | 2.08 | 93.8% |
| bwin | 2.90 | 3.60 best price | 2.25 best price | 93.7% |
| SpreadEx | 3.60 | 3.30 | 2.05 | 93.6% |
| ComeOn | 3.57 | 3.37 | 2.02 | 93.3% |
| Casinostuen | 3.49 | 3.35 | 2.01 | 92.4% |
| GetLucky | 3.53 | 3.34 | 2.00 | 92.4% |
| 888sport | 3.50 | 3.20 | 2.05 | 92.1% |
| Mr Green | 3.50 | 3.20 | 2.05 | 92.1% |
| VBET | 3.38 | 3.21 | 2.03 | 90.9% |
| Betmaster | 3.30 | 3.15 | 2.05 | 90.2% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.66 | 3.60 | 2.25 | 100.5% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.90–3.66 · 26.2% | 3.15–3.60 · 14.3% | 2.00–2.25 · 12.5% | 90.2–95.3% |
How did the Wrexham – Wolves odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Wrexham drifted from 3.00 when odds opened on 31 Oct to 3.66 at kick-off, a 22.0% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | WREXHAM | DRAW | WOLVES |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct (open) | 3.00 | 3.35 | 2.37 |
| Tue 3 Nov | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.27 |
| Sat 7 Nov (kick-off) | 3.66 | 3.40 | 2.10 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 51.9%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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