West Bromwich Albion – Millwall odds
West Bromwich Albion went into the match as clear favourites against Millwall.
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West Bromwich Albion – Millwall: closing odds analysis
- West Bromwich Albion were favourites: the closing odds implied a 47% chance of a home win, 26% for Millwall and 27% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: West Bromwich Albion 2.05 at bwin, the draw 3.60 at bwin, Millwall 3.85 at Stake.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.1%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Millwall drifted from 3.50 at the opening to 3.85 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 50% chance of three or more goals and 54% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, West Bromwich Albion or Millwall?
West Bromwich Albion, clearly: the closing odds put 21.5 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on West Bromwich Albion – Millwall?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on West Bromwich Albion, bwin on the draw and Stake on Millwall. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (95.1%) and Betmaster the least (90.1%).
| BOOKMAKER | WEST BROMWICH ALBION | DRAW | MILLWALL | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 2.02 | 3.50 | 3.70 | 95.1% |
| Betinia | 2.05 best price | 3.50 | 3.60 | 95.1% |
| CampoBet | 2.05 best price | 3.50 | 3.60 | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 2.05 best price | 3.50 | 3.60 | 95.1% |
| Casino House | 2.05 best price | 3.50 | 3.60 | 95.1% |
| Oddset | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.75 | 95.0% |
| bwin | 2.05 best price | 3.60 best price | 3.40 | 94.4% |
| SpreadEx | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.80 | 94.2% |
| Stake | 1.92 | 3.55 | 3.85 best price | 94.1% |
| Casinomoto | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.60 | 94.0% |
| ComeOn | 1.94 | 3.52 | 3.71 | 93.5% |
| Bet25 | 1.95 | 3.55 | 3.55 | 92.9% |
| GetLucky | 1.92 | 3.48 | 3.68 | 92.6% |
| Casinostuen | 1.92 | 3.48 | 3.68 | 92.6% |
| 888sport | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.60 | 91.4% |
| Mr Green | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.60 | 91.4% |
| VBET | 1.88 | 3.41 | 3.66 | 91.0% |
| Betmaster | 1.97 | 3.25 | 3.40 | 90.1% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.85 | 97.5% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.88–2.05 · 9.0% | 3.25–3.60 · 10.8% | 3.40–3.85 · 13.2% | 90.1–95.1% |
How did the West Bromwich Albion – Millwall odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Millwall drifted from 3.50 when odds opened on 31 Oct to 3.85 at kick-off, a 10.0% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | WEST BROMWICH ALBION | DRAW | MILLWALL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct (open) | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| Tue 3 Nov | 2.05 | 3.65 | 3.50 |
| Sat 7 Nov (kick-off) | 2.05 | 3.55 | 3.85 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 53.9%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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