Valencia – Real Madrid odds
Real Madrid went into the match as heavy favourites against Valencia.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Corners
Cards
Valencia – Real Madrid: closing odds analysis
- Real Madrid were favourites: the closing odds implied a 75% chance of an away win, 10% for Valencia and 15% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Valencia 13.00 at VBET, the draw 6.80 at Stake, Real Madrid 1.30 at bwin.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.7%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Valencia drifted from 8.00 at the opening to 13.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 66% chance of three or more goals and 51% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Valencia or Real Madrid?
Real Madrid, by a distance: the closing odds put 65.7 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Valencia – Real Madrid?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Valencia, Stake on the draw and bwin on Real Madrid. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.7%) and Bet25 the least (91.6%).
| BOOKMAKER | VALENCIA | DRAW | REAL MADRID | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 10.75 | 6.20 | 1.30 best price | 97.7% |
| VBET | 13.00 best price | 6.80 best price | 1.23 | 96.4% |
| Merkur Bets | 11.00 | 6.50 | 1.25 | 95.7% |
| Spilhuset | 11.00 | 6.40 | 1.25 | 95.5% |
| ComeOn | 9.71 | 6.24 | 1.27 | 95.2% |
| LeoVegas | 11.00 | 6.50 | 1.24 | 95.1% |
| Unibet | 11.00 | 6.50 | 1.24 | 95.1% |
| Betinia | 9.00 | 6.50 | 1.27 | 95.0% |
| CampoBet | 9.00 | 6.50 | 1.27 | 95.0% |
| Casinomoto | 9.00 | 6.50 | 1.27 | 95.0% |
| Betoro | 9.00 | 6.50 | 1.27 | 95.0% |
| Casino House | 9.00 | 6.50 | 1.27 | 95.0% |
| Oddset | 9.50 | 6.25 | 1.27 | 95.0% |
| bwin | 8.00 | 6.25 | 1.30 best price | 94.9% |
| Expekt | 10.00 | 6.75 | 1.24 | 94.8% |
| Stake | 11.00 | 6.80 best price | 1.22 | 94.6% |
| GetLucky | 9.62 | 6.18 | 1.26 | 94.4% |
| Casinostuen | 9.62 | 6.18 | 1.26 | 94.4% |
| SpreadEx | 11.00 | 6.50 | 1.22 | 94.1% |
| 888sport | 10.00 | 6.00 | 1.25 | 93.8% |
| Mr Green | 10.00 | 6.00 | 1.25 | 93.8% |
| Betmaster | 8.80 | 5.80 | 1.28 | 93.7% |
| Bet25 | 8.00 | 6.00 | 1.25 | 91.6% |
| BEST PRICE | 13.00 | 6.80 | 1.30 | 100.7% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 8.00–13.00 · 62.5% | 5.80–6.80 · 17.2% | 1.22–1.30 · 6.6% | 91.6–97.7% |
How did the Valencia – Real Madrid odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Valencia drifted from 8.00 when odds opened on 26 Oct to 13.00 at kick-off, a 62.5% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | VALENCIA | DRAW | REAL MADRID |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 26 Oct (open) | 8.00 | 5.66 | 1.42 |
| Sun 1 Nov | 8.00 | 5.80 | 1.38 |
| Sat 7 Nov (kick-off) | 13.00 | 6.80 | 1.30 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 51.1%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
More La Liga odds
- Athletic Club – EspanyolFri 20 Nov · 21:00
- Deportivo Alavés – Deportivo La CoruñaSat 21 Nov · 14:00
- Rayo Vallecano – ValenciaSat 21 Nov · 16:15
- Sevilla – Real BetisSat 21 Nov · 18:30
- Real Madrid – Celta VigoSat 21 Nov · 21:00
- Barcelona – VillarrealSun 22 Nov · 14:00
- Racing Santander – Real SociedadSun 22 Nov · 16:15
- Osasuna – MálagaSun 22 Nov · 18:30
- Getafe – Atlético MadridSun 22 Nov · 21:00
- Levante – ElcheMon 23 Nov · 21:00
- La Liga odds ›
The odds imply probabilities; they are not predictions. OddsStat is a comparison service, not a bookmaker. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.