Stuttgart – Werder Bremen odds
Stuttgart went into the match as clear favourites against Werder Bremen.
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Stuttgart – Werder Bremen: closing odds analysis
- Stuttgart were favourites: the closing odds implied a 50% chance of a home win, 27% for Werder Bremen and 23% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Stuttgart 1.93 at Betinia, the draw 4.30 at Stake, Werder Bremen 3.99 at VBET.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.2%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Werder Bremen shortened from 6.00 at the opening to 3.99 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 67% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Stuttgart or Werder Bremen?
Stuttgart, clearly: the closing odds put 23.6 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Stuttgart – Werder Bremen?
It depended on the outcome: Betinia was best on Stuttgart, Stake on the draw and VBET on Werder Bremen. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.2%) and Bet25 the least (89.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | STUTTGART | DRAW | WERDER BREMEN | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.93 best price | 4.30 best price | 3.60 | 97.2% |
| Oddset | 1.89 | 4.25 | 3.55 | 95.6% |
| VBET | 1.79 | 4.20 | 3.99 best price | 95.5% |
| ComeOn | 1.89 | 4.16 | 3.57 | 95.3% |
| Betinia | 1.93 best price | 4.20 | 3.40 | 95.2% |
| CampoBet | 1.93 best price | 4.20 | 3.40 | 95.2% |
| Casinomoto | 1.93 best price | 4.20 | 3.40 | 95.2% |
| Betoro | 1.93 best price | 4.20 | 3.40 | 95.2% |
| Casino House | 1.93 best price | 4.20 | 3.40 | 95.2% |
| Stake | 1.77 | 4.30 best price | 3.80 | 94.3% |
| GetLucky | 1.87 | 4.12 | 3.53 | 94.3% |
| Casinostuen | 1.87 | 4.12 | 3.53 | 94.3% |
| bwin | 1.82 | 4.20 | 3.40 | 92.5% |
| 888sport | 1.83 | 4.00 | 3.50 | 92.4% |
| Mr Green | 1.83 | 4.00 | 3.50 | 92.4% |
| Bet25 | 1.78 | 4.20 | 3.20 | 89.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.93 | 4.30 | 3.99 | 99.9% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.77–1.93 · 9.0% | 4.00–4.30 · 7.5% | 3.20–3.99 · 24.7% | 89.9–97.2% |
How did the Stuttgart – Werder Bremen odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Werder Bremen shortened from 6.00 when odds opened on 26 Oct to 3.99 at kick-off, a 33.5% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | STUTTGART | DRAW | WERDER BREMEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 26 Oct (open) | 1.52 | 5.40 | 6.00 |
| Sun 1 Nov | 1.60 | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| Sat 7 Nov (kick-off) | 1.93 | 4.30 | 3.99 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 67.4%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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