Queens Park Rangers – Lincoln City odds
Queens Park Rangers went into the match as heavy favourites against Lincoln City.
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Queens Park Rangers – Lincoln City: closing odds analysis
- Queens Park Rangers were favourites: the closing odds implied a 57% chance of a home win, 19% for Lincoln City and 24% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Queens Park Rangers 1.82 at bwin, the draw 4.10 at Bet25, Lincoln City 5.10 at Betano.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.0%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Lincoln City drifted from 4.20 at the opening to 5.10 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 53% chance of three or more goals and 53% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Queens Park Rangers or Lincoln City?
Queens Park Rangers, by a distance: the closing odds put 37.5 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Queens Park Rangers – Lincoln City?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Queens Park Rangers, Bet25 on the draw and Betano on Lincoln City. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (95.0%) and Betmaster the least (90.2%).
| BOOKMAKER | QUEENS PARK RANGERS | DRAW | LINCOLN CITY | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.65 | 4.00 | 5.10 best price | 95.0% |
| Betinia | 1.66 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 95.0% |
| CampoBet | 1.66 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 95.0% |
| Betoro | 1.66 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 95.0% |
| Casino House | 1.66 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 95.0% |
| Bet25 | 1.63 | 4.10 best price | 4.80 | 93.8% |
| bwin | 1.82 best price | 3.75 | 4.00 | 93.8% |
| Stake | 1.62 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 93.7% |
| SpreadEx | 1.61 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 93.5% |
| Casinomoto | 1.64 | 4.00 | 4.75 | 93.4% |
| ComeOn | 1.61 | 3.96 | 5.05 | 93.3% |
| GetLucky | 1.60 | 3.93 | 5.01 | 92.7% |
| Casinostuen | 1.60 | 3.93 | 5.01 | 92.7% |
| 888sport | 1.66 | 3.90 | 4.40 | 92.1% |
| Mr Green | 1.66 | 3.90 | 4.40 | 92.1% |
| VBET | 1.56 | 3.93 | 4.90 | 90.9% |
| Betmaster | 1.61 | 3.70 | 4.60 | 90.2% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.82 | 4.10 | 5.10 | 101.1% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.56–1.82 · 16.7% | 3.70–4.10 · 10.8% | 4.00–5.10 · 27.5% | 90.2–95.0% |
How did the Queens Park Rangers – Lincoln City odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Lincoln City drifted from 4.20 when odds opened on 31 Oct to 5.10 at kick-off, a 21.4% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | QUEENS PARK RANGERS | DRAW | LINCOLN CITY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct (open) | 1.80 | 3.70 | 4.20 |
| Tue 3 Nov | 1.83 | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| Sat 7 Nov (kick-off) | 1.66 | 4.10 | 5.10 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 53.4%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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