Preston – Southampton odds
Southampton went into the match as heavy favourites against Preston.
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Preston – Southampton: closing odds analysis
- Southampton were favourites: the closing odds implied a 60% chance of an away win, 18% for Preston and 22% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Preston 5.66 at Betinia, the draw 4.40 at SpreadEx, Southampton 1.66 at bwin.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.4%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Preston drifted from 5.25 at the opening to 5.66 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 57% chance of three or more goals and 56% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Preston or Southampton?
Southampton, by a distance: the closing odds put 42.1 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Preston – Southampton?
It depended on the outcome: Betinia was best on Preston, SpreadEx on the draw and bwin on Southampton. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (95.4%) and Betmaster the least (90.5%).
| BOOKMAKER | PRESTON | DRAW | SOUTHAMPTON | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 5.40 | 4.20 | 1.60 | 95.4% |
| Betinia | 5.66 best price | 4.33 | 1.55 | 95.0% |
| CampoBet | 5.66 best price | 4.33 | 1.55 | 95.0% |
| Betoro | 5.66 best price | 4.33 | 1.55 | 95.0% |
| Casino House | 5.66 best price | 4.33 | 1.55 | 95.0% |
| Oddset | 5.25 | 4.25 | 1.59 | 94.8% |
| bwin | 4.60 | 4.10 | 1.66 best price | 94.0% |
| SpreadEx | 5.25 | 4.40 best price | 1.55 | 93.9% |
| Stake | 5.20 | 4.30 | 1.56 | 93.8% |
| ComeOn | 5.35 | 4.26 | 1.55 | 93.7% |
| Casinomoto | 5.66 best price | 4.20 | 1.53 | 93.6% |
| Bet25 | 4.90 | 4.30 | 1.56 | 92.8% |
| GetLucky | 5.30 | 4.22 | 1.53 | 92.7% |
| Casinostuen | 5.30 | 4.22 | 1.53 | 92.7% |
| 888sport | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.57 | 92.0% |
| Mr Green | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.57 | 92.0% |
| VBET | 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.52 | 91.2% |
| Betmaster | 4.70 | 3.85 | 1.58 | 90.5% |
| BEST PRICE | 5.66 | 4.40 | 1.66 | 99.4% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 4.60–5.66 · 23.0% | 3.85–4.40 · 14.3% | 1.52–1.66 · 9.2% | 90.5–95.4% |
How did the Preston – Southampton odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Preston drifted from 5.25 when odds opened on 31 Oct to 5.66 at kick-off, a 7.8% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | PRESTON | DRAW | SOUTHAMPTON |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct (open) | 5.25 | 4.40 | 1.57 |
| Tue 3 Nov | 5.40 | 4.50 | 1.57 |
| Sat 7 Nov (kick-off) | 5.66 | 4.40 | 1.66 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 56.1%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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