Portsmouth – Stoke City odds
Portsmouth went into the match as clear favourites against Stoke City.
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Portsmouth – Stoke City: closing odds analysis
- Portsmouth were favourites: the closing odds implied a 42% chance of a home win, 28% for Stoke City and 30% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Portsmouth 2.32 at Stake, the draw 3.30 at Bet25, Stoke City 3.50 at Betinia.
- Betinia had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.4%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Stoke City drifted from 3.15 at the opening to 3.50 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 44% chance of three or more goals and 48% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Portsmouth or Stoke City?
Portsmouth, clearly: the closing odds put 13.4 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Portsmouth – Stoke City?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Portsmouth, Bet25 on the draw and Betinia on Stoke City. Across all three outcomes Betinia paid out the most (95.4%) and Betmaster the least (89.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | PORTSMOUTH | DRAW | STOKE CITY | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betinia | 2.22 | 3.20 | 3.50 best price | 95.4% |
| CampoBet | 2.22 | 3.20 | 3.50 best price | 95.4% |
| Betoro | 2.22 | 3.20 | 3.50 best price | 95.4% |
| Casino House | 2.22 | 3.20 | 3.50 best price | 95.4% |
| Betano | 2.27 | 3.25 | 3.30 | 95.1% |
| Oddset | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.25 | 94.4% |
| SpreadEx | 2.30 | 3.10 | 3.30 | 94.3% |
| Stake | 2.32 best price | 3.15 | 3.20 | 94.3% |
| bwin | 2.20 | 3.25 | 3.30 | 93.9% |
| Bet25 | 2.22 | 3.30 best price | 3.20 | 93.8% |
| Casinomoto | 2.16 | 3.14 | 3.50 best price | 93.7% |
| ComeOn | 2.23 | 3.22 | 3.22 | 93.5% |
| GetLucky | 2.21 | 3.19 | 3.19 | 92.6% |
| Casinostuen | 2.21 | 3.19 | 3.19 | 92.6% |
| 888sport | 2.25 | 3.00 | 3.20 | 91.7% |
| Mr Green | 2.25 | 3.00 | 3.20 | 91.7% |
| VBET | 2.31 | 2.94 | 3.06 | 90.9% |
| Betmaster | 2.19 | 3.00 | 3.10 | 89.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.32 | 3.30 | 3.50 | 98.1% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.16–2.32 · 7.4% | 2.94–3.30 · 12.2% | 3.06–3.50 · 14.4% | 89.9–95.4% |
How did the Portsmouth – Stoke City odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Stoke City drifted from 3.15 when odds opened on 31 Oct to 3.50 at kick-off, a 11.1% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | PORTSMOUTH | DRAW | STOKE CITY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct (open) | 2.28 | 3.45 | 3.15 |
| Tue 3 Nov | 2.42 | 3.35 | 2.95 |
| Sat 7 Nov (kick-off) | 2.32 | 3.30 | 3.50 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Fewer than three goals was the likelier outcome in the closing odds. Both teams to score was priced at 48.5%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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