Paris Saint-Germain – Troyes odds
Paris Saint-Germain went into the match as heavy favourites against Troyes.
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Paris Saint-Germain – Troyes: closing odds analysis
- Paris Saint-Germain were favourites: the closing odds implied a 82% chance of a home win, 7% for Troyes and 12% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Paris Saint-Germain 1.18 at Betinia, the draw 9.30 at VBET, Troyes 23.00 at VBET.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Troyes drifted from 17.00 at the opening to 23.00 at kick-off.
Who were the favourites, Paris Saint-Germain or Troyes?
Paris Saint-Germain, by a distance: the closing odds put 75.0 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Paris Saint-Germain – Troyes?
It depended on the outcome: Betinia was best on Paris Saint-Germain, VBET on the draw and VBET on Troyes. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (96.5%) and Oddset the least (92.3%).
| BOOKMAKER | PARIS SAINT-GERMAIN | DRAW | TROYES | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 1.13 | 9.30 best price | 23.00 best price | 96.5% |
| bwin | 1.15 | 9.25 | 15.00 | 95.8% |
| Betinia | 1.18 best price | 7.50 | 14.00 | 95.0% |
| CampoBet | 1.18 best price | 7.50 | 14.00 | 95.0% |
| Casinomoto | 1.18 best price | 7.50 | 14.00 | 95.0% |
| Betoro | 1.18 best price | 7.50 | 14.00 | 95.0% |
| Casino House | 1.18 best price | 7.50 | 14.00 | 95.0% |
| ComeOn | 1.17 | 7.73 | 13.37 | 94.4% |
| Stake | 1.12 | 9.20 | 17.00 | 94.3% |
| Betmaster | 1.17 | 7.60 | 13.00 | 94.1% |
| SpreadEx | 1.13 | 8.50 | 15.00 | 93.7% |
| GetLucky | 1.16 | 7.65 | 13.25 | 93.6% |
| Casinostuen | 1.16 | 7.65 | 13.25 | 93.6% |
| 888sport | 1.16 | 7.50 | 13.00 | 93.3% |
| Mr Green | 1.16 | 7.50 | 13.00 | 93.3% |
| Bet25 | 1.12 | 9.20 | 14.00 | 93.2% |
| Oddset | 1.12 | 8.25 | 14.50 | 92.3% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.18 | 9.30 | 23.00 | 100.2% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.12–1.18 · 5.4% | 7.50–9.30 · 24.0% | 13.00–23.00 · 76.9% | 92.3–96.5% |
How did the Paris Saint-Germain – Troyes odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Troyes drifted from 17.00 when odds opened on 26 Oct to 23.00 at kick-off, a 35.3% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | PARIS SAINT-GERMAIN | DRAW | TROYES |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 26 Oct (open) | 1.16 | 9.80 | 17.00 |
| Sun 1 Nov | 1.14 | 10.00 | 16.00 |
| Sat 7 Nov (kick-off) | 1.18 | 9.30 | 23.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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