Málaga – Racing Santander odds
Málaga went into the match as narrow favourites against Racing Santander.
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Málaga – Racing Santander: closing odds analysis
- Málaga were favourites: the closing odds implied a 39% chance of a home win, 34% for Racing Santander and 27% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Málaga 2.50 at Oddset, the draw 3.72 at VBET, Racing Santander 3.14 at VBET.
- Merkur Bets had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.1%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Málaga drifted from 2.33 at the opening to 2.50 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 57% chance of three or more goals and 61% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Málaga or Racing Santander?
Málaga, but only just: the closing odds put 5.6 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Málaga – Racing Santander?
It depended on the outcome: Oddset was best on Málaga, VBET on the draw and VBET on Racing Santander. Across all three outcomes Merkur Bets paid out the most (97.1%) and Bet25 the least (88.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | MÁLAGA | DRAW | RACING SANTANDER | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merkur Bets | 2.39 | 3.60 | 3.00 | 97.1% |
| VBET | 2.21 | 3.72 best price | 3.14 best price | 96.2% |
| Spilhuset | 2.50 best price | 3.53 | 2.77 | 95.8% |
| Expekt | 2.35 | 3.55 | 2.95 | 95.6% |
| Casino House | 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.75 | 95.3% |
| SpreadEx | 2.50 best price | 3.40 | 2.80 | 95.1% |
| LeoVegas | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.95 | 95.1% |
| Oddset | 2.50 best price | 3.55 | 2.70 | 95.1% |
| Betinia | 2.42 | 3.50 | 2.83 | 95.0% |
| CampoBet | 2.42 | 3.50 | 2.83 | 95.0% |
| Casinomoto | 2.42 | 3.50 | 2.83 | 95.0% |
| Betoro | 2.42 | 3.50 | 2.83 | 95.0% |
| Unibet | 2.40 | 3.45 | 2.85 | 94.6% |
| ComeOn | 2.48 | 3.52 | 2.67 | 94.2% |
| Stake | 2.15 | 3.70 | 3.05 | 94.1% |
| bwin | 2.40 | 3.50 | 2.70 | 93.2% |
| GetLucky | 2.45 | 3.48 | 2.65 | 93.2% |
| Casinostuen | 2.45 | 3.48 | 2.65 | 93.2% |
| Betmaster | 2.47 | 3.35 | 2.70 | 93.1% |
| 888sport | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.70 | 92.5% |
| Mr Green | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.70 | 92.5% |
| Bet25 | 2.30 | 3.45 | 2.50 | 88.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.50 | 3.72 | 3.14 | 101.3% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.15–2.50 · 16.3% | 3.35–3.72 · 11.0% | 2.50–3.14 · 25.6% | 88.9–97.1% |
How did the Málaga – Racing Santander odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Málaga drifted from 2.33 when odds opened on 26 Oct to 2.50 at kick-off, a 7.3% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | MÁLAGA | DRAW | RACING SANTANDER |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 26 Oct (open) | 2.33 | 3.57 | 3.00 |
| Sun 1 Nov | 2.42 | 3.60 | 2.85 |
| Sat 7 Nov (kick-off) | 2.50 | 3.72 | 3.14 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 61.4%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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