Mainz 05 – Bayern Munich odds
Bayern Munich went into the match as heavy favourites against Mainz 05.
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Mainz 05 – Bayern Munich: closing odds analysis
- Bayern Munich were favourites: the closing odds implied a 73% chance of an away win, 12% for Mainz 05 and 15% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Mainz 05 10.00 at VBET, the draw 7.10 at VBET, Bayern Munich 1.47 at bwin.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.6%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Mainz 05 drifted from 6.50 at the opening to 10.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 65% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Mainz 05 or Bayern Munich?
Bayern Munich, by a distance: the closing odds put 61.0 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Mainz 05 – Bayern Munich?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Mainz 05, VBET on the draw and bwin on Bayern Munich. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.6%) and Mr Green the least (91.2%).
| BOOKMAKER | MAINZ 05 | DRAW | BAYERN MUNICH | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 9.25 | 6.80 | 1.30 | 97.6% |
| VBET | 10.00 best price | 7.10 best price | 1.25 | 96.1% |
| ComeOn | 8.42 | 6.74 | 1.28 | 95.4% |
| Betinia | 9.00 | 6.50 | 1.27 | 95.0% |
| CampoBet | 9.00 | 6.50 | 1.27 | 95.0% |
| Casinomoto | 9.00 | 6.50 | 1.27 | 95.0% |
| Betoro | 9.00 | 6.50 | 1.27 | 95.0% |
| Casino House | 9.00 | 6.50 | 1.27 | 95.0% |
| bwin | 5.50 | 5.25 | 1.47 best price | 95.0% |
| GetLucky | 8.34 | 6.67 | 1.27 | 94.6% |
| Casinostuen | 8.34 | 6.67 | 1.27 | 94.6% |
| Stake | 8.80 | 7.00 | 1.24 | 94.1% |
| Oddset | 5.50 | 5.50 | 1.39 | 92.3% |
| Bet25 | 6.60 | 6.60 | 1.26 | 91.2% |
| 888sport | 6.50 | 5.75 | 1.30 | 91.2% |
| Mr Green | 6.50 | 5.75 | 1.30 | 91.2% |
| BEST PRICE | 10.00 | 7.10 | 1.47 | 108.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 5.50–10.00 · 81.8% | 5.25–7.10 · 35.2% | 1.24–1.47 · 18.5% | 91.2–97.6% |
How did the Mainz 05 – Bayern Munich odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Mainz 05 drifted from 6.50 when odds opened on 26 Oct to 10.00 at kick-off, a 53.8% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | MAINZ 05 | DRAW | BAYERN MUNICH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 26 Oct (open) | 6.50 | 6.00 | 1.44 |
| Sun 1 Nov | 5.50 | 6.33 | 1.53 |
| Sat 7 Nov (kick-off) | 10.00 | 7.10 | 1.30 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 64.8%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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