Hobro IK – Esbjerg fB odds
Hobro IK and Esbjerg fB went into the match almost level in the odds.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Hobro IK – Esbjerg fB: closing odds analysis
- No clear favourite: the closing odds implied 37% for Hobro IK, 27% for a draw and 36% for Esbjerg fB.
- Best closing odds: Hobro IK 2.79 at VBET, the draw 3.74 at VBET, Esbjerg fB 2.71 at Casino House.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Hobro IK drifted from 2.57 at the opening to 2.79 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 56% chance of three or more goals.
Who were the favourites, Hobro IK or Esbjerg fB?
Neither side, really: the closing odds put only 1.2 percentage points between Hobro IK and Esbjerg fB.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Hobro IK – Esbjerg fB?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Hobro IK, VBET on the draw and Casino House on Esbjerg fB. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (95.3%) and Mr Green the least (89.6%).
| BOOKMAKER | HOBRO IK | DRAW | ESBJERG FB | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 2.79 best price | 3.74 best price | 2.36 | 95.3% |
| Bet25 | 2.49 | 3.55 | 2.70 | 94.9% |
| Betinia | 2.49 | 3.49 | 2.69 | 94.3% |
| CampoBet | 2.49 | 3.49 | 2.69 | 94.3% |
| Casinomoto | 2.49 | 3.49 | 2.69 | 94.3% |
| Betoro | 2.49 | 3.49 | 2.69 | 94.3% |
| Casino House | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.71 best price | 94.1% |
| SpreadEx | 2.55 | 3.50 | 2.55 | 93.5% |
| Oddset | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.60 | 92.7% |
| ComeOn | 2.42 | 3.47 | 2.63 | 92.5% |
| Stake | 2.65 | 3.45 | 2.37 | 91.8% |
| GetLucky | 2.40 | 3.44 | 2.60 | 91.6% |
| Casinostuen | 2.40 | 3.44 | 2.60 | 91.6% |
| Betmaster | 2.39 | 3.25 | 2.60 | 90.0% |
| 888sport | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.45 | 89.6% |
| Mr Green | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.45 | 89.6% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.79 | 3.74 | 2.71 | 100.5% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.39–2.79 · 16.7% | 3.25–3.74 · 15.1% | 2.36–2.71 · 14.8% | 89.6–95.3% |
How did the Hobro IK – Esbjerg fB odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Hobro IK drifted from 2.57 when odds opened on 31 Oct to 2.79 at kick-off, a 8.6% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | HOBRO IK | DRAW | ESBJERG FB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct (open) | 2.57 | 3.52 | 2.58 |
| Tue 3 Nov | 2.58 | 3.50 | 2.59 |
| Sat 7 Nov (kick-off) | 2.79 | 3.74 | 2.71 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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