Sevilla – Deportivo Alavés odds
Sevilla went into the match as heavy favourites against Deportivo Alavés.
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Sevilla – Deportivo Alavés: closing odds analysis
- Sevilla were favourites: the closing odds implied a 49% chance of a home win, 22% for Deportivo Alavés and 28% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Sevilla 2.00 at Expekt, the draw 3.50 at Betinia, Deportivo Alavés 4.50 at bwin.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.8%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Deportivo Alavés drifted from 3.95 at the opening to 4.50 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 42% chance of three or more goals and 46% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Sevilla or Deportivo Alavés?
Sevilla, by a distance: the closing odds put 27.3 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Sevilla – Deportivo Alavés?
It depended on the outcome: Expekt was best on Sevilla, Betinia on the draw and bwin on Deportivo Alavés. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.8%) and Bet25 the least (91.2%).
| BOOKMAKER | SEVILLA | DRAW | DEPORTIVO ALAVÉS | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.98 | 3.45 | 4.40 | 97.8% |
| VBET | 1.98 | 3.21 | 4.50 best price | 96.3% |
| Merkur Bets | 1.98 | 3.28 | 4.33 | 96.1% |
| Spilhuset | 1.95 | 3.25 | 4.50 best price | 95.9% |
| bwin | 1.87 | 3.40 | 4.50 best price | 95.1% |
| Betinia | 1.87 | 3.50 best price | 4.33 | 95.1% |
| CampoBet | 1.87 | 3.50 best price | 4.33 | 95.1% |
| Casinomoto | 1.87 | 3.50 best price | 4.33 | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 1.87 | 3.50 best price | 4.33 | 95.1% |
| LeoVegas | 1.98 | 3.30 | 4.10 | 95.1% |
| Expekt | 2.00 best price | 3.30 | 4.00 | 95.0% |
| SpreadEx | 1.91 | 3.25 | 4.50 best price | 94.9% |
| Oddset | 1.95 | 3.40 | 4.00 | 94.6% |
| ComeOn | 1.85 | 3.42 | 4.46 | 94.6% |
| Unibet | 1.88 | 3.30 | 4.50 best price | 94.6% |
| Stake | 1.93 | 3.30 | 4.20 | 94.4% |
| GetLucky | 1.83 | 3.39 | 4.42 | 93.7% |
| Casinostuen | 1.83 | 3.39 | 4.42 | 93.7% |
| Betmaster | 1.97 | 3.15 | 4.10 | 93.5% |
| 888sport | 1.95 | 3.20 | 4.00 | 93.0% |
| Mr Green | 1.95 | 3.20 | 4.00 | 93.0% |
| Bet25 | 1.88 | 3.25 | 3.90 | 91.2% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.00 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 99.2% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.83–2.00 · 9.3% | 3.15–3.50 · 11.1% | 3.90–4.50 · 15.4% | 91.2–97.8% |
How did the Sevilla – Deportivo Alavés odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Deportivo Alavés drifted from 3.95 when odds opened on 26 Oct to 4.50 at kick-off, a 13.9% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | SEVILLA | DRAW | DEPORTIVO ALAVÉS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 26 Oct (open) | 2.07 | 3.45 | 3.95 |
| Sun 1 Nov | 2.12 | 3.40 | 3.85 |
| Fri 6 Nov (kick-off) | 2.00 | 3.50 | 4.50 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Fewer than three goals was the likelier outcome in the closing odds. Both teams to score was priced at 46.3%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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