HB Køge – AaB odds
AaB went into the match as clear favourites against HB Køge.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
HB Køge – AaB: closing odds analysis
- AaB were favourites: the closing odds implied a 44% chance of an away win, 30% for HB Køge and 26% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: HB Køge 3.33 at Betinia, the draw 3.82 at VBET, AaB 2.37 at 888sport.
- Bet25 had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.4%.
- Odds movement: the best price on HB Køge drifted from 2.55 at the opening to 3.33 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 58% chance of three or more goals.
Who were the favourites, HB Køge or AaB?
AaB, clearly: the closing odds put 13.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on HB Køge – AaB?
It depended on the outcome: Betinia was best on HB Køge, VBET on the draw and 888sport on AaB. Across all three outcomes Bet25 paid out the most (95.4%) and Mr Green the least (89.6%).
| BOOKMAKER | HB KØGE | DRAW | AAB | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet25 | 3.25 | 3.75 | 2.11 | 95.4% |
| VBET | 3.09 | 3.82 best price | 2.15 | 95.2% |
| Betinia | 3.33 best price | 3.59 | 2.08 | 94.4% |
| CampoBet | 3.33 best price | 3.59 | 2.08 | 94.4% |
| Casinomoto | 3.33 best price | 3.59 | 2.08 | 94.4% |
| Betoro | 3.33 best price | 3.59 | 2.08 | 94.4% |
| Casino House | 3.10 | 3.66 | 2.12 | 93.7% |
| Oddset | 3.15 | 3.65 | 2.10 | 93.7% |
| Betano | 3.15 | 3.60 | 2.10 | 93.3% |
| ComeOn | 3.17 | 3.62 | 2.05 | 92.6% |
| Stake | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.08 | 91.8% |
| GetLucky | 3.14 | 3.58 | 2.03 | 91.7% |
| Casinostuen | 3.14 | 3.58 | 2.03 | 91.7% |
| Betmaster | 3.05 | 3.40 | 2.05 | 90.1% |
| 888sport | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.37 best price | 89.6% |
| Mr Green | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.37 best price | 89.6% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.33 | 3.82 | 2.37 | 101.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.50–3.33 · 33.2% | 3.40–3.82 · 12.4% | 2.03–2.37 · 16.7% | 89.6–95.4% |
How did the HB Køge – AaB odds move before kick-off?
The best price on HB Køge drifted from 2.55 when odds opened on 31 Oct to 3.33 at kick-off, a 30.6% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | HB KØGE | DRAW | AAB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct (open) | 2.55 | 3.65 | 2.47 |
| Tue 3 Nov | 2.70 | 3.75 | 2.45 |
| Fri 6 Nov (kick-off) | 3.33 | 3.82 | 2.15 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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