Hamburger SV – Borussia Mönchengladbach odds
Hamburger SV went into the match as narrow favourites against Borussia Mönchengladbach.
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Hamburger SV – Borussia Mönchengladbach: closing odds analysis
- Hamburger SV were favourites: the closing odds implied a 40% chance of a home win, 33% for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 27% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Hamburger SV 2.45 at Betano, the draw 3.60 at Betinia, Borussia Mönchengladbach 3.14 at Casino House.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.6%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Borussia Mönchengladbach drifted from 2.95 at the opening to 3.14 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 54% chance of three or more goals and 61% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Hamburger SV or Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Hamburger SV, but only just: the closing odds put 7.4 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Hamburger SV – Borussia Mönchengladbach?
It depended on the outcome: Betano was best on Hamburger SV, Betinia on the draw and Casino House on Borussia Mönchengladbach. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.6%) and Bet25 the least (91.1%).
| BOOKMAKER | HAMBURGER SV | DRAW | BORUSSIA MÖNCHENGLADBACH | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 2.45 best price | 3.60 best price | 2.95 | 97.6% |
| VBET | 2.37 | 3.47 | 3.03 | 96.1% |
| Casino House | 2.25 | 3.50 | 3.14 best price | 95.4% |
| Betinia | 2.33 | 3.60 best price | 2.90 | 95.1% |
| CampoBet | 2.33 | 3.60 best price | 2.90 | 95.1% |
| Casinomoto | 2.33 | 3.60 best price | 2.90 | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 2.33 | 3.60 best price | 2.90 | 95.1% |
| ComeOn | 2.36 | 3.47 | 2.87 | 94.3% |
| Stake | 2.27 | 3.55 | 2.95 | 94.2% |
| bwin | 2.35 | 3.40 | 2.90 | 93.9% |
| GetLucky | 2.34 | 3.43 | 2.85 | 93.5% |
| Casinostuen | 2.34 | 3.43 | 2.85 | 93.5% |
| Oddset | 2.30 | 3.60 best price | 2.70 | 92.3% |
| 888sport | 2.37 | 3.50 | 2.62 | 91.8% |
| Mr Green | 2.37 | 3.50 | 2.62 | 91.8% |
| Bet25 | 2.25 | 3.45 | 2.75 | 91.1% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.45 | 3.60 | 3.14 | 99.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.25–2.45 · 8.9% | 3.40–3.60 · 5.9% | 2.62–3.14 · 19.8% | 91.1–97.6% |
How did the Hamburger SV – Borussia Mönchengladbach odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Borussia Mönchengladbach drifted from 2.95 when odds opened on 26 Oct to 3.14 at kick-off, a 6.4% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | HAMBURGER SV | DRAW | BORUSSIA MÖNCHENGLADBACH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 26 Oct (open) | 2.37 | 3.80 | 2.95 |
| Sun 1 Nov | 2.42 | 3.80 | 2.85 |
| Fri 6 Nov (kick-off) | 2.45 | 3.60 | 3.14 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 61.1%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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