Universitatea Craiova – Egnatia odds
Universitatea Craiova went into the match as heavy favourites against Egnatia.
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Universitatea Craiova – Egnatia: closing odds analysis
- Universitatea Craiova were favourites: the closing odds implied a 70% chance of a home win, 11% for Egnatia and 19% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Universitatea Craiova 1.39 at Merkur Bets, the draw 5.60 at Unibet, Egnatia 10.50 at Unibet.
- Unibet had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Egnatia drifted from 5.90 at the opening to 10.50 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 57% chance of three or more goals and 48% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Universitatea Craiova or Egnatia?
Universitatea Craiova, by a distance: the closing odds put 58.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Universitatea Craiova – Egnatia?
It depended on the outcome: Merkur Bets was best on Universitatea Craiova, Unibet on the draw and Unibet on Egnatia. Across all three outcomes Unibet paid out the most (97.5%) and Betmaster the least (90.5%).
| BOOKMAKER | UNIVERSITATEA CRAIOVA | DRAW | EGNATIA | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.33 | 5.60 best price | 10.50 best price | 97.5% |
| Merkur Bets | 1.39 best price | 5.00 | 8.50 | 96.2% |
| Betano | 1.35 | 5.00 | 9.25 | 95.3% |
| Spilhuset | 1.33 | 5.10 | 9.30 | 94.7% |
| Stake | 1.34 | 5.20 | 8.20 | 94.3% |
| Bet25 | 1.33 | 5.40 | 7.80 | 93.9% |
| SpreadEx | 1.33 | 5.00 | 8.50 | 93.6% |
| Betoro | 1.35 | 4.75 | 8.50 | 93.6% |
| Casino House | 1.35 | 4.75 | 8.50 | 93.6% |
| Expekt | 1.32 | 5.20 | 8.00 | 93.0% |
| LeoVegas | 1.32 | 5.20 | 8.00 | 93.0% |
| ComeOn | 1.31 | 5.15 | 8.22 | 92.7% |
| Betinia | 1.35 | 4.50 | 8.50 | 92.5% |
| CampoBet | 1.35 | 4.50 | 8.50 | 92.5% |
| VBET | 1.32 | 4.80 | 8.70 | 92.5% |
| 888sport | 1.33 | 4.60 | 8.50 | 92.0% |
| Mr Green | 1.33 | 4.60 | 8.50 | 92.0% |
| GetLucky | 1.30 | 5.10 | 8.15 | 91.9% |
| Casinostuen | 1.30 | 5.10 | 8.15 | 91.9% |
| bwin | 1.33 | 4.75 | 7.75 | 91.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.30 | 4.80 | 8.00 | 90.7% |
| Betmaster | 1.32 | 4.80 | 7.20 | 90.5% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.39 | 5.60 | 10.50 | 100.4% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.30–1.39 · 6.5% | 4.50–5.60 · 24.4% | 7.20–10.50 · 45.8% | 90.5–97.5% |
How did the Universitatea Craiova – Egnatia odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Egnatia drifted from 5.90 when odds opened on 23 Oct to 10.50 at kick-off, a 78.0% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | UNIVERSITATEA CRAIOVA | DRAW | EGNATIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 23 Oct (open) | 1.53 | 4.40 | 5.90 |
| Thu 29 Oct | 1.50 | 4.70 | 7.00 |
| Thu 5 Nov (kick-off) | 1.39 | 5.60 | 10.50 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 47.5%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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