Twente – Pafos odds
Twente went into the match as heavy favourites against Pafos.
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Twente – Pafos: closing odds analysis
- Twente were favourites: the closing odds implied a 75% chance of a home win, 10% for Pafos and 14% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Twente 1.29 at bwin, the draw 7.20 at Bet25, Pafos 11.50 at Unibet.
- Unibet had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Pafos drifted from 6.40 at the opening to 11.50 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 66% chance of three or more goals and 57% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Twente or Pafos?
Twente, by a distance: the closing odds put 64.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Twente – Pafos?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Twente, Bet25 on the draw and Unibet on Pafos. Across all three outcomes Unibet paid out the most (96.5%) and Betmaster the least (91.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | TWENTE | DRAW | PAFOS | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.24 | 7.00 | 11.50 best price | 96.5% |
| Merkur Bets | 1.29 | 6.50 | 9.50 | 96.5% |
| VBET | 1.25 | 7.10 | 10.00 | 96.1% |
| Betano | 1.26 | 6.50 | 9.75 | 95.2% |
| Spilhuset | 1.25 | 6.70 | 9.70 | 95.0% |
| Stake | 1.23 | 7.00 | 10.00 | 94.7% |
| Expekt | 1.25 | 6.50 | 9.00 | 93.9% |
| Betoro | 1.25 | 6.33 | 9.00 | 93.5% |
| Casino House | 1.25 | 6.33 | 9.00 | 93.5% |
| LeoVegas | 1.24 | 6.50 | 9.00 | 93.3% |
| SpreadEx | 1.22 | 6.50 | 9.50 | 92.8% |
| ComeOn | 1.23 | 6.64 | 8.52 | 92.5% |
| Betinia | 1.23 | 6.33 | 9.00 | 92.4% |
| CampoBet | 1.23 | 6.33 | 9.00 | 92.4% |
| Bet25 | 1.23 | 7.20 best price | 7.60 | 92.3% |
| bwin | 1.29 best price | 5.50 | 7.75 | 92.1% |
| GetLucky | 1.22 | 6.58 | 8.44 | 91.7% |
| Casinostuen | 1.22 | 6.58 | 8.44 | 91.7% |
| 888sport | 1.22 | 6.00 | 9.50 | 91.6% |
| Mr Green | 1.22 | 6.00 | 9.50 | 91.6% |
| Betmaster | 1.24 | 6.20 | 7.60 | 91.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.29 | 7.20 | 11.50 | 99.9% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.22–1.29 · 5.7% | 5.50–7.20 · 30.9% | 7.60–11.50 · 51.3% | 91.0–96.5% |
How did the Twente – Pafos odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Pafos drifted from 6.40 when odds opened on 23 Oct to 11.50 at kick-off, a 79.7% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | TWENTE | DRAW | PAFOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 23 Oct (open) | 1.50 | 4.40 | 6.40 |
| Thu 29 Oct | 1.35 | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| Thu 5 Nov (kick-off) | 1.29 | 7.20 | 11.50 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 56.9%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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The odds imply probabilities; they are not predictions. OddsStat is a comparison service, not a bookmaker. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.