Torreense – Ararat-Armenia odds
Torreense went into the match as heavy favourites against Ararat-Armenia.
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Torreense – Ararat-Armenia: closing odds analysis
- Torreense were favourites: the closing odds implied a 56% chance of a home win, 19% for Ararat-Armenia and 25% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Torreense 1.74 at Merkur Bets, the draw 3.85 at Bet25, Ararat-Armenia 5.10 at Betano.
- Merkur Bets had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.4%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Ararat-Armenia drifted from 4.50 at the opening to 5.10 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 49% chance of three or more goals and 50% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Torreense or Ararat-Armenia?
Torreense, by a distance: the closing odds put 36.5 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Torreense – Ararat-Armenia?
It depended on the outcome: Merkur Bets was best on Torreense, Bet25 on the draw and Betano on Ararat-Armenia. Across all three outcomes Merkur Bets paid out the most (96.4%) and Mr Green the least (91.7%).
| BOOKMAKER | TORREENSE | DRAW | ARARAT-ARMENIA | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merkur Bets | 1.74 best price | 3.80 | 5.00 | 96.4% |
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.80 | 5.10 best price | 95.5% |
| Oddset | 1.70 | 3.85 best price | 5.00 | 95.4% |
| Unibet | 1.71 | 3.70 | 5.00 | 94.8% |
| Spilhuset | 1.70 | 3.73 | 5.00 | 94.7% |
| bwin | 1.68 | 3.80 | 5.00 | 94.5% |
| Stake | 1.68 | 3.80 | 5.00 | 94.5% |
| Betoro | 1.70 | 3.66 | 5.00 | 94.2% |
| Casino House | 1.70 | 3.66 | 5.00 | 94.2% |
| Betinia | 1.69 | 3.66 | 5.00 | 93.9% |
| CampoBet | 1.69 | 3.66 | 5.00 | 93.9% |
| Bet25 | 1.68 | 3.85 best price | 4.70 | 93.7% |
| Expekt | 1.68 | 3.75 | 4.80 | 93.4% |
| LeoVegas | 1.68 | 3.75 | 4.80 | 93.4% |
| Betmaster | 1.70 | 3.60 | 4.80 | 93.1% |
| SpreadEx | 1.67 | 3.75 | 4.75 | 92.8% |
| ComeOn | 1.65 | 3.72 | 4.85 | 92.5% |
| VBET | 1.67 | 3.62 | 4.85 | 92.5% |
| GetLucky | 1.64 | 3.68 | 4.81 | 91.8% |
| Casinostuen | 1.64 | 3.68 | 4.81 | 91.8% |
| 888sport | 1.66 | 3.60 | 4.75 | 91.7% |
| Mr Green | 1.66 | 3.60 | 4.75 | 91.7% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.74 | 3.85 | 5.10 | 97.1% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.64–1.74 · 6.2% | 3.60–3.85 · 6.9% | 4.70–5.10 · 8.5% | 91.7–96.4% |
How did the Torreense – Ararat-Armenia odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Ararat-Armenia drifted from 4.50 when odds opened on 23 Oct to 5.10 at kick-off, a 13.3% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | TORREENSE | DRAW | ARARAT-ARMENIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 23 Oct (open) | 1.78 | 4.00 | 4.50 |
| Fri 30 Oct | 1.81 | 4.00 | 4.50 |
| Thu 5 Nov (kick-off) | 1.74 | 3.85 | 5.10 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 50.4%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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The odds imply probabilities; they are not predictions. OddsStat is a comparison service, not a bookmaker. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.