Thun – Hearts odds
Thun went into the match as clear favourites against Hearts.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Corners
Cards
Thun – Hearts: closing odds analysis
- Thun were favourites: the closing odds implied a 44% chance of a home win, 31% for Hearts and 25% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Thun 2.27 at Merkur Bets, the draw 4.00 at Unibet, Hearts 3.50 at Unibet.
- Unibet had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.0%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Hearts drifted from 2.62 at the opening to 3.50 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 59% chance of three or more goals and 63% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Thun or Hearts?
Thun, clearly: the closing odds put 13.2 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Thun – Hearts?
It depended on the outcome: Merkur Bets was best on Thun, Unibet on the draw and Unibet on Hearts. Across all three outcomes Unibet paid out the most (97.0%) and Betmaster the least (90.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | THUN | DRAW | HEARTS | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.02 | 4.00 best price | 3.50 best price | 97.0% |
| Merkur Bets | 2.27 best price | 3.70 | 3.05 | 96.3% |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.80 | 3.10 | 95.2% |
| Spilhuset | 2.08 | 3.88 | 3.16 | 94.8% |
| Stake | 2.20 | 3.70 | 3.00 | 94.5% |
| Casino House | 1.95 | 3.80 | 3.40 | 93.4% |
| Casinomoto | 2.12 | 3.75 | 3.00 | 93.3% |
| Betoro | 2.12 | 3.75 | 3.00 | 93.3% |
| SpreadEx | 2.10 | 3.80 | 3.00 | 93.2% |
| Expekt | 2.20 | 3.65 | 2.90 | 93.2% |
| LeoVegas | 2.20 | 3.65 | 2.90 | 93.2% |
| ComeOn | 2.09 | 3.72 | 3.02 | 92.7% |
| VBET | 2.16 | 3.70 | 2.89 | 92.7% |
| Betinia | 2.10 | 3.66 | 3.00 | 92.4% |
| CampoBet | 2.10 | 3.66 | 3.00 | 92.4% |
| GetLucky | 2.08 | 3.68 | 2.99 | 92.0% |
| Casinostuen | 2.07 | 3.68 | 2.99 | 91.8% |
| Bet25 | 2.07 | 3.80 | 2.85 | 91.1% |
| 888sport | 2.10 | 3.60 | 2.90 | 91.0% |
| Mr Green | 2.10 | 3.60 | 2.90 | 91.0% |
| bwin | 2.10 | 3.60 | 2.87 | 90.7% |
| Marathonbet | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.04 | 90.7% |
| Betmaster | 2.10 | 3.45 | 2.90 | 90.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.27 | 4.00 | 3.50 | 102.4% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.95–2.27 · 16.4% | 3.45–4.00 · 15.9% | 2.85–3.50 · 22.8% | 90.0–97.0% |
How did the Thun – Hearts odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Hearts drifted from 2.62 when odds opened on 23 Oct to 3.50 at kick-off, a 33.6% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | THUN | DRAW | HEARTS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 23 Oct (open) | 2.60 | 3.55 | 2.62 |
| Thu 29 Oct | 2.52 | 3.85 | 2.70 |
| Thu 5 Nov (kick-off) | 2.27 | 4.00 | 3.50 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 63.0%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
More Conference League odds
- Bodø/Glimt – LASKTue 24 Nov · 18:45
- Galatasaray – Aston VillaTue 24 Nov · 18:45
- Como – AEK AthensTue 24 Nov · 21:00
- Man City – NapoliTue 24 Nov · 21:00
- Slovan Bratislava – Real BetisTue 24 Nov · 21:00
- Slavia Prague – VillarrealWed 25 Nov · 18:45
- Kairat Almaty – MjallbyThu 26 Nov · 16:30
- Ajax – ThunThu 26 Nov · 18:45
- Brann – AGFThu 26 Nov · 18:45
- Brighton – Universitatea CraiovaThu 26 Nov · 18:45
- Egnatia – Lincoln Red ImpsThu 26 Nov · 18:45
- Hearts – MonacoThu 26 Nov · 18:45
- Iberia 1999 – GetafeThu 26 Nov · 18:45
- Jablonec – LuganoThu 26 Nov · 18:45
- Pafos – FC MidtjyllandThu 26 Nov · 18:45
- Žalgiris Kaunas – Riga FCThu 26 Nov · 18:45
- Borac Banja Luka – AtalantaThu 26 Nov · 21:00
- Braga – KuPSThu 26 Nov · 21:00
- CSKA Sofia – TrabzonsporThu 26 Nov · 21:00
- FC Nordsjælland – PanathinaikosThu 26 Nov · 21:00
- Freiburg – TwenteThu 26 Nov · 21:00
- Gent – Crvena ZvezdaThu 26 Nov · 21:00
- Hajduk Split – Sint-TruidenThu 26 Nov · 21:00
- Inter Club d'Escaldes – FC CopenhagenThu 26 Nov · 21:00
- Conference League odds ›
The odds imply probabilities; they are not predictions. OddsStat is a comparison service, not a bookmaker. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.