Sunderland – Dinamo Zagreb odds
Sunderland went into the match as heavy favourites against Dinamo Zagreb.
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Sunderland – Dinamo Zagreb: closing odds analysis
- Sunderland were favourites: the closing odds implied a 62% chance of a home win, 17% for Dinamo Zagreb and 21% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Sunderland 1.59 at Merkur Bets, the draw 4.50 at Betinia, Dinamo Zagreb 6.00 at Unibet.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.0%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Sunderland drifted from 1.45 at the opening to 1.59 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 57% chance of three or more goals and 53% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Sunderland or Dinamo Zagreb?
Sunderland, by a distance: the closing odds put 44.6 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Sunderland – Dinamo Zagreb?
It depended on the outcome: Merkur Bets was best on Sunderland, Betinia on the draw and Unibet on Dinamo Zagreb. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (96.0%) and Mr Green the least (91.6%).
| BOOKMAKER | SUNDERLAND | DRAW | DINAMO ZAGREB | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 1.56 | 4.50 best price | 5.60 | 96.0% |
| Merkur Bets | 1.59 best price | 4.33 | 5.50 | 95.9% |
| Betano | 1.57 | 4.30 | 5.50 | 95.1% |
| Spilhuset | 1.53 | 4.50 best price | 5.60 | 94.8% |
| Unibet | 1.52 | 4.35 | 6.00 best price | 94.8% |
| ComeOn | 1.54 | 4.46 | 5.45 | 94.6% |
| Stake | 1.52 | 4.40 | 5.80 | 94.6% |
| bwin | 1.57 | 4.33 | 5.25 | 94.5% |
| Oddset | 1.58 | 4.25 | 5.25 | 94.5% |
| Betoro | 1.50 | 4.50 best price | 5.75 | 94.1% |
| Casino House | 1.50 | 4.50 best price | 5.75 | 94.1% |
| Betmaster | 1.56 | 4.20 | 5.40 | 94.0% |
| Betinia | 1.50 | 4.50 best price | 5.66 | 93.8% |
| CampoBet | 1.50 | 4.50 best price | 5.66 | 93.8% |
| SpreadEx | 1.50 | 4.50 best price | 5.60 | 93.7% |
| LeoVegas | 1.55 | 4.30 | 5.25 | 93.6% |
| GetLucky | 1.52 | 4.42 | 5.40 | 93.5% |
| Casinostuen | 1.52 | 4.42 | 5.40 | 93.5% |
| Expekt | 1.53 | 4.30 | 5.25 | 93.0% |
| Bet25 | 1.53 | 4.40 | 5.00 | 92.5% |
| 888sport | 1.44 | 4.33 | 6.00 best price | 91.6% |
| Mr Green | 1.44 | 4.33 | 6.00 best price | 91.6% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.59 | 4.50 | 6.00 | 98.2% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.44–1.59 · 10.3% | 4.20–4.50 · 7.1% | 5.00–6.00 · 20.0% | 91.6–96.0% |
How did the Sunderland – Dinamo Zagreb odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Sunderland drifted from 1.45 when odds opened on 23 Oct to 1.59 at kick-off, a 9.5% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | SUNDERLAND | DRAW | DINAMO ZAGREB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 23 Oct (open) | 1.45 | 4.90 | 6.50 |
| Fri 30 Oct | 1.50 | 4.75 | 6.50 |
| Thu 5 Nov (kick-off) | 1.59 | 4.50 | 6.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 53.3%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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The odds imply probabilities; they are not predictions. OddsStat is a comparison service, not a bookmaker. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.