Sparta Prague – Bournemouth odds
Bournemouth went into the match as heavy favourites against Sparta Prague.
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Sparta Prague – Bournemouth: closing odds analysis
- Bournemouth were favourites: the closing odds implied a 59% chance of an away win, 19% for Sparta Prague and 22% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Sparta Prague 6.25 at Unibet, the draw 4.46 at ComeOn, Bournemouth 1.65 at Betano.
- Merkur Bets had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Sparta Prague drifted from 5.10 at the opening to 6.25 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 60% chance of three or more goals and 57% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Sparta Prague or Bournemouth?
Bournemouth, by a distance: the closing odds put 40.3 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Sparta Prague – Bournemouth?
It depended on the outcome: Unibet was best on Sparta Prague, ComeOn on the draw and Betano on Bournemouth. Across all three outcomes Merkur Bets paid out the most (96.3%) and Mr Green the least (92.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | SPARTA PRAGUE | DRAW | BOURNEMOUTH | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merkur Bets | 5.00 | 4.33 | 1.65 | 96.3% |
| Betano | 4.85 | 4.20 | 1.65 best price | 95.2% |
| Spilhuset | 5.70 | 4.20 | 1.56 | 94.8% |
| bwin | 5.00 | 4.33 | 1.60 | 94.7% |
| Oddset | 5.00 | 4.25 | 1.61 | 94.7% |
| Unibet | 6.25 best price | 4.35 | 1.50 | 94.6% |
| Stake | 4.90 | 4.30 | 1.61 | 94.5% |
| Casinomoto | 4.75 | 4.33 | 1.61 | 94.1% |
| Betoro | 4.75 | 4.33 | 1.61 | 94.1% |
| Casino House | 4.75 | 4.33 | 1.61 | 94.1% |
| SpreadEx | 5.25 | 4.20 | 1.57 | 93.9% |
| Betinia | 4.75 | 4.25 | 1.61 | 93.7% |
| CampoBet | 4.75 | 4.25 | 1.61 | 93.7% |
| ComeOn | 5.15 | 4.46 best price | 1.54 | 93.7% |
| LeoVegas | 4.75 | 4.20 | 1.61 | 93.6% |
| Betmaster | 4.90 | 4.10 | 1.61 | 93.5% |
| Expekt | 4.80 | 4.20 | 1.60 | 93.3% |
| GetLucky | 5.10 | 4.42 | 1.52 | 92.6% |
| Casinostuen | 5.10 | 4.42 | 1.52 | 92.6% |
| Bet25 | 4.70 | 4.40 | 1.56 | 92.5% |
| VBET | 4.90 | 3.96 | 1.60 | 92.5% |
| 888sport | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.57 | 92.0% |
| Mr Green | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.57 | 92.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 6.25 | 4.46 | 1.65 | 101.0% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 4.70–6.25 · 33.0% | 3.96–4.46 · 12.6% | 1.50–1.65 · 10.0% | 92.0–96.3% |
How did the Sparta Prague – Bournemouth odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Sparta Prague drifted from 5.10 when odds opened on 23 Oct to 6.25 at kick-off, a 22.5% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | SPARTA PRAGUE | DRAW | BOURNEMOUTH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 23 Oct (open) | 5.10 | 4.30 | 1.62 |
| Thu 29 Oct | 5.10 | 4.30 | 1.62 |
| Thu 5 Nov (kick-off) | 6.25 | 4.46 | 1.65 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 57.5%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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