Riga FC – Jablonec odds
Riga FC went into the match as narrow favourites against Jablonec.
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Riga FC – Jablonec: closing odds analysis
- Riga FC were favourites: the closing odds implied a 40% chance of a home win, 33% for Jablonec and 27% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Riga FC 2.45 at Unibet, the draw 3.55 at Bet25, Jablonec 3.00 at Unibet.
- Unibet had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.0%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Riga FC drifted from 2.30 at the opening to 2.45 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 52% chance of three or more goals and 57% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Riga FC or Jablonec?
Riga FC, but only just: the closing odds put 7.2 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Riga FC – Jablonec?
It depended on the outcome: Unibet was best on Riga FC, Bet25 on the draw and Unibet on Jablonec. Across all three outcomes Unibet paid out the most (97.0%) and Betmaster the least (90.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | RIGA FC | DRAW | JABLONEC | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.45 best price | 3.45 | 3.00 best price | 97.0% |
| Merkur Bets | 2.36 | 3.50 | 3.00 best price | 95.9% |
| Betano | 2.42 | 3.45 | 2.87 | 95.1% |
| Spilhuset | 2.38 | 3.45 | 2.90 | 94.8% |
| Stake | 2.29 | 3.50 | 2.95 | 94.2% |
| Expekt | 2.30 | 3.45 | 2.90 | 93.5% |
| LeoVegas | 2.30 | 3.45 | 2.90 | 93.5% |
| Betoro | 2.40 | 3.33 | 2.83 | 93.4% |
| Casino House | 2.40 | 3.33 | 2.83 | 93.4% |
| SpreadEx | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.90 | 93.0% |
| ComeOn | 2.32 | 3.42 | 2.82 | 92.8% |
| VBET | 2.26 | 3.41 | 2.91 | 92.6% |
| Betinia | 2.40 | 3.33 | 2.75 | 92.5% |
| CampoBet | 2.40 | 3.33 | 2.75 | 92.5% |
| Bet25 | 2.26 | 3.55 best price | 2.80 | 92.5% |
| GetLucky | 2.30 | 3.39 | 2.80 | 92.0% |
| Casinostuen | 2.30 | 3.39 | 2.80 | 92.0% |
| 888sport | 2.37 | 3.25 | 2.75 | 91.5% |
| Mr Green | 2.37 | 3.25 | 2.75 | 91.5% |
| bwin | 2.20 | 3.25 | 2.90 | 90.3% |
| Betmaster | 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.75 | 90.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.45 | 3.55 | 3.00 | 97.7% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.20–2.45 · 11.4% | 3.20–3.55 · 10.9% | 2.75–3.00 · 9.1% | 90.0–97.0% |
How did the Riga FC – Jablonec odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Riga FC drifted from 2.30 when odds opened on 23 Oct to 2.45 at kick-off, a 6.5% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | RIGA FC | DRAW | JABLONEC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 23 Oct (open) | 2.30 | 3.45 | 3.10 |
| Thu 29 Oct | 2.40 | 3.45 | 3.00 |
| Thu 5 Nov (kick-off) | 2.45 | 3.55 | 3.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 56.9%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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