NEC Nijmegen – Omonia Nicosia odds
NEC Nijmegen went into the match as heavy favourites against Omonia Nicosia.
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2nd Half
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NEC Nijmegen – Omonia Nicosia: closing odds analysis
- NEC Nijmegen were favourites: the closing odds implied a 55% chance of a home win, 22% for Omonia Nicosia and 23% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: NEC Nijmegen 1.77 at Betinia, the draw 4.50 at VBET, Omonia Nicosia 5.00 at Merkur Bets.
- Merkur Bets had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Omonia Nicosia drifted from 4.30 at the opening to 5.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 59% chance of three or more goals and 58% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, NEC Nijmegen or Omonia Nicosia?
NEC Nijmegen, by a distance: the closing odds put 33.4 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on NEC Nijmegen – Omonia Nicosia?
It depended on the outcome: Betinia was best on NEC Nijmegen, VBET on the draw and Merkur Bets on Omonia Nicosia. Across all three outcomes Merkur Bets paid out the most (96.3%) and Mr Green the least (91.4%).
| BOOKMAKER | NEC NIJMEGEN | DRAW | OMONIA NICOSIA | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merkur Bets | 1.65 | 4.33 | 5.00 best price | 96.3% |
| VBET | 1.63 | 4.50 best price | 4.90 | 96.2% |
| Betano | 1.75 | 4.05 | 4.25 | 94.9% |
| Unibet | 1.71 | 4.10 | 4.40 | 94.7% |
| Spilhuset | 1.71 | 4.10 | 4.40 | 94.7% |
| Oddset | 1.75 | 4.00 | 4.25 | 94.6% |
| bwin | 1.73 | 4.00 | 4.33 | 94.4% |
| Stake | 1.60 | 4.30 | 4.90 | 94.2% |
| Casinomoto | 1.77 best price | 4.00 | 4.00 | 93.9% |
| Betoro | 1.77 best price | 4.00 | 4.00 | 93.9% |
| Casino House | 1.77 best price | 4.00 | 4.00 | 93.9% |
| SpreadEx | 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.40 | 93.9% |
| Betinia | 1.77 best price | 3.80 | 4.20 | 93.8% |
| CampoBet | 1.77 best price | 3.80 | 4.20 | 93.8% |
| Expekt | 1.60 | 4.20 | 4.80 | 93.3% |
| LeoVegas | 1.60 | 4.20 | 4.80 | 93.3% |
| Betmaster | 1.74 | 3.85 | 4.20 | 93.2% |
| ComeOn | 1.66 | 4.06 | 4.26 | 92.3% |
| Bet25 | 1.70 | 4.10 | 3.95 | 92.1% |
| GetLucky | 1.65 | 4.02 | 4.22 | 91.6% |
| Casinostuen | 1.65 | 4.02 | 4.22 | 91.6% |
| 888sport | 1.72 | 3.80 | 4.00 | 91.4% |
| Mr Green | 1.72 | 3.80 | 4.00 | 91.4% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.77 | 4.50 | 5.00 | 101.3% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.60–1.77 · 10.6% | 3.80–4.50 · 18.4% | 3.95–5.00 · 26.6% | 91.4–96.3% |
How did the NEC Nijmegen – Omonia Nicosia odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Omonia Nicosia drifted from 4.30 when odds opened on 23 Oct to 5.00 at kick-off, a 16.3% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | NEC NIJMEGEN | DRAW | OMONIA NICOSIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 23 Oct (open) | 1.83 | 4.20 | 4.30 |
| Thu 29 Oct | 1.81 | 4.05 | 4.25 |
| Thu 5 Nov (kick-off) | 1.77 | 4.50 | 5.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 58.5%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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