Lillestrøm – Viktoria Plzeň odds
Viktoria Plzeň went into the match as narrow favourites against Lillestrøm.
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Lillestrøm – Viktoria Plzeň: closing odds analysis
- Viktoria Plzeň were favourites: the closing odds implied a 44% chance of an away win, 32% for Lillestrøm and 25% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Lillestrøm 3.23 at VBET, the draw 4.00 at Betinia, Viktoria Plzeň 2.35 at bwin.
- Merkur Bets had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.0%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Lillestrøm drifted from 2.70 at the opening to 3.23 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 60% chance of three or more goals and 63% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Lillestrøm or Viktoria Plzeň?
Viktoria Plzeň, but only just: the closing odds put 11.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Lillestrøm – Viktoria Plzeň?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Lillestrøm, Betinia on the draw and bwin on Viktoria Plzeň. Across all three outcomes Merkur Bets paid out the most (96.0%) and Bet25 the least (91.3%).
| BOOKMAKER | LILLESTRØM | DRAW | VIKTORIA PLZEŇ | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merkur Bets | 3.20 | 3.70 | 2.18 | 96.0% |
| Betano | 2.95 | 3.90 | 2.20 | 95.2% |
| Unibet | 3.00 | 3.70 | 2.23 | 95.1% |
| Spilhuset | 2.97 | 3.79 | 2.20 | 94.8% |
| Stake | 3.20 | 3.80 | 2.07 | 94.5% |
| bwin | 2.75 | 3.70 | 2.35 best price | 94.4% |
| SpreadEx | 2.90 | 3.80 | 2.20 | 94.1% |
| Casinomoto | 2.85 | 4.00 best price | 2.16 | 94.0% |
| Betmaster | 3.00 | 3.65 | 2.18 | 93.8% |
| Betinia | 2.83 | 4.00 best price | 2.16 | 93.8% |
| CampoBet | 2.83 | 4.00 best price | 2.16 | 93.8% |
| Expekt | 3.10 | 3.75 | 2.08 | 93.5% |
| LeoVegas | 3.10 | 3.75 | 2.08 | 93.5% |
| VBET | 3.23 best price | 3.69 | 2.00 | 92.5% |
| ComeOn | 2.92 | 3.72 | 2.12 | 92.3% |
| 888sport | 2.90 | 3.60 | 2.15 | 91.9% |
| Mr Green | 2.90 | 3.60 | 2.15 | 91.9% |
| GetLucky | 2.90 | 3.68 | 2.10 | 91.5% |
| Casinostuen | 2.90 | 3.68 | 2.10 | 91.5% |
| Bet25 | 2.80 | 3.85 | 2.09 | 91.3% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.23 | 4.00 | 2.35 | 101.5% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.75–3.23 · 17.5% | 3.60–4.00 · 11.1% | 2.00–2.35 · 17.5% | 91.3–96.0% |
How did the Lillestrøm – Viktoria Plzeň odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Lillestrøm drifted from 2.70 when odds opened on 23 Oct to 3.23 at kick-off, a 19.6% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | LILLESTRØM | DRAW | VIKTORIA PLZEŇ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 23 Oct (open) | 2.70 | 3.70 | 2.33 |
| Thu 29 Oct | 2.77 | 3.70 | 2.40 |
| Thu 5 Nov (kick-off) | 3.23 | 4.00 | 2.23 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 62.8%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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The odds imply probabilities; they are not predictions. OddsStat is a comparison service, not a bookmaker. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.