Levski Sofia – Jagiellonia Białystok odds
Levski Sofia went into the match as clear favourites against Jagiellonia Białystok.
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Levski Sofia – Jagiellonia Białystok: closing odds analysis
- Levski Sofia were favourites: the closing odds implied a 47% chance of a home win, 24% for Jagiellonia Białystok and 29% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Levski Sofia 2.05 at Betoro, the draw 3.60 at bwin, Jagiellonia Białystok 4.20 at Stake.
- Merkur Bets had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.0%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Jagiellonia Białystok drifted from 3.70 at the opening to 4.20 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 44% chance of three or more goals and 49% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Levski Sofia or Jagiellonia Białystok?
Levski Sofia, clearly: the closing odds put 23.2 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Levski Sofia – Jagiellonia Białystok?
It depended on the outcome: Betoro was best on Levski Sofia, bwin on the draw and Stake on Jagiellonia Białystok. Across all three outcomes Merkur Bets paid out the most (96.0%) and Casinostuen the least (91.6%).
| BOOKMAKER | LEVSKI SOFIA | DRAW | JAGIELLONIA BIAŁYSTOK | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merkur Bets | 2.00 | 3.30 | 4.20 best price | 96.0% |
| Oddset | 2.04 | 3.35 | 3.90 | 95.7% |
| Betano | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.90 | 95.2% |
| SpreadEx | 2.00 | 3.30 | 4.00 | 95.0% |
| Spilhuset | 1.99 | 3.30 | 4.00 | 94.7% |
| Unibet | 1.98 | 3.25 | 4.10 | 94.6% |
| Betoro | 2.05 best price | 3.25 | 3.80 | 94.5% |
| Casino House | 2.05 best price | 3.25 | 3.80 | 94.5% |
| Stake | 1.93 | 3.30 | 4.20 best price | 94.4% |
| Casinomoto | 1.96 | 3.33 | 4.00 | 94.3% |
| Betinia | 2.00 | 3.33 | 3.80 | 94.0% |
| CampoBet | 2.00 | 3.33 | 3.80 | 94.0% |
| bwin | 2.00 | 3.60 best price | 3.50 | 94.0% |
| Bet25 | 1.99 | 3.35 | 3.75 | 93.7% |
| LeoVegas | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.95 | 93.6% |
| Betmaster | 2.03 | 3.15 | 3.80 | 93.2% |
| Expekt | 1.92 | 3.30 | 4.00 | 93.1% |
| ComeOn | 1.95 | 3.27 | 3.81 | 92.5% |
| VBET | 1.91 | 3.23 | 4.00 | 92.3% |
| 888sport | 2.00 | 3.10 | 3.80 | 92.1% |
| Mr Green | 2.00 | 3.10 | 3.80 | 92.1% |
| GetLucky | 1.94 | 3.24 | 3.78 | 91.9% |
| Casinostuen | 1.93 | 3.24 | 3.78 | 91.6% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.05 | 3.60 | 4.20 | 99.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.91–2.05 · 7.3% | 3.10–3.60 · 16.1% | 3.50–4.20 · 20.0% | 91.6–96.0% |
How did the Levski Sofia – Jagiellonia Białystok odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Jagiellonia Białystok drifted from 3.70 when odds opened on 23 Oct to 4.20 at kick-off, a 13.5% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | LEVSKI SOFIA | DRAW | JAGIELLONIA BIAŁYSTOK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 23 Oct (open) | 2.05 | 3.65 | 3.70 |
| Thu 29 Oct | 2.07 | 3.65 | 3.66 |
| Thu 5 Nov (kick-off) | 2.05 | 3.40 | 4.20 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Fewer than three goals was the likelier outcome in the closing odds. Both teams to score was priced at 49.3%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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