Hapoel Be'er Sheva – OFI Crete odds
Hapoel Be'er Sheva went into the match as clear favourites against OFI Crete.
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Hapoel Be'er Sheva – OFI Crete: closing odds analysis
- Hapoel Be'er Sheva were favourites: the closing odds implied a 44% chance of a home win, 29% for OFI Crete and 27% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Hapoel Be'er Sheva 2.20 at Merkur Bets, the draw 3.60 at bwin, OFI Crete 3.40 at Betinia.
- Merkur Bets had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.9%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Hapoel Be'er Sheva drifted from 2.02 at the opening to 2.20 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 53% chance of three or more goals and 58% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Hapoel Be'er Sheva or OFI Crete?
Hapoel Be'er Sheva, clearly: the closing odds put 15.5 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Hapoel Be'er Sheva – OFI Crete?
It depended on the outcome: Merkur Bets was best on Hapoel Be'er Sheva, bwin on the draw and Betinia on OFI Crete. Across all three outcomes Merkur Bets paid out the most (95.9%) and Casinostuen the least (91.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | HAPOEL BE'ER SHEVA | DRAW | OFI CRETE | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merkur Bets | 2.20 best price | 3.50 | 3.30 | 95.9% |
| Oddset | 2.19 | 3.55 | 3.25 | 95.6% |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.55 | 3.30 | 95.3% |
| bwin | 2.15 | 3.60 best price | 3.25 | 95.2% |
| Spilhuset | 2.15 | 3.47 | 3.31 | 94.7% |
| Stake | 2.10 | 3.55 | 3.35 | 94.7% |
| Unibet | 2.12 | 3.55 | 3.30 | 94.7% |
| Betoro | 2.08 | 3.50 | 3.40 best price | 94.3% |
| Casino House | 2.08 | 3.50 | 3.40 best price | 94.3% |
| Betinia | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.40 best price | 93.9% |
| CampoBet | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.40 best price | 93.9% |
| Expekt | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.15 | 93.6% |
| LeoVegas | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.15 | 93.6% |
| Betmaster | 2.18 | 3.35 | 3.20 | 93.5% |
| SpreadEx | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.30 | 93.2% |
| ComeOn | 2.07 | 3.52 | 3.22 | 92.8% |
| VBET | 2.09 | 3.40 | 3.26 | 92.6% |
| 888sport | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.20 | 92.4% |
| Mr Green | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.20 | 92.4% |
| Bet25 | 2.11 | 3.55 | 3.05 | 92.3% |
| GetLucky | 2.05 | 3.48 | 3.19 | 91.9% |
| Casinostuen | 2.05 | 3.48 | 3.19 | 91.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.20 | 3.60 | 3.40 | 97.4% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.05–2.20 · 7.3% | 3.35–3.60 · 7.5% | 3.05–3.40 · 11.5% | 91.9–95.9% |
How did the Hapoel Be'er Sheva – OFI Crete odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Hapoel Be'er Sheva drifted from 2.02 when odds opened on 23 Oct to 2.20 at kick-off, a 8.9% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | HAPOEL BE'ER SHEVA | DRAW | OFI CRETE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 23 Oct (open) | 2.02 | 3.70 | 3.60 |
| Fri 30 Oct | 2.14 | 3.65 | 3.50 |
| Thu 5 Nov (kick-off) | 2.20 | 3.60 | 3.40 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 57.6%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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