Crvena Zvezda – Inter Club d'Escaldes odds
Crvena Zvezda went into the match as heavy favourites against Inter Club d'Escaldes.
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2nd Half
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Crvena Zvezda – Inter Club d'Escaldes: closing odds analysis
- Crvena Zvezda were favourites: the closing odds implied a 89% chance of a home win, 3% for Inter Club d'Escaldes and 8% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Crvena Zvezda 1.09 at Merkur Bets, the draw 15.00 at Unibet, Inter Club d'Escaldes 60.00 at Betano.
- Unibet had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Inter Club d'Escaldes drifted from 26.00 at the opening to 60.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 75% chance of three or more goals and 36% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Crvena Zvezda or Inter Club d'Escaldes?
Crvena Zvezda, by a distance: the closing odds put 85.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Crvena Zvezda – Inter Club d'Escaldes?
It depended on the outcome: Merkur Bets was best on Crvena Zvezda, Unibet on the draw and Betano on Inter Club d'Escaldes. Across all three outcomes Unibet paid out the most (97.5%) and Casinomoto the least (92.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | CRVENA ZVEZDA | DRAW | INTER CLUB D'ESCALDES | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.07 | 15.00 best price | 41.00 | 97.5% |
| Merkur Bets | 1.09 best price | 12.00 | 29.00 | 96.7% |
| Bet25 | 1.06 | 15.00 best price | 30.00 | 95.8% |
| Betano | 1.06 | 11.50 | 60.00 best price | 95.5% |
| Spilhuset | 1.04 | 15.00 best price | 36.00 | 94.7% |
| SpreadEx | 1.04 | 15.00 best price | 34.00 | 94.2% |
| 888sport | 1.06 | 11.00 | 34.00 | 94.2% |
| Mr Green | 1.06 | 11.00 | 34.00 | 94.2% |
| Expekt | 1.05 | 13.00 | 26.00 | 93.7% |
| LeoVegas | 1.05 | 13.00 | 26.00 | 93.7% |
| bwin | 1.09 | 10.00 | 19.50 | 93.6% |
| Casino House | 1.06 | 11.00 | 26.00 | 93.2% |
| ComeOn | 1.04 | 12.38 | 31.70 | 93.1% |
| GetLucky | 1.04 | 12.27 | 31.41 | 93.0% |
| Casinostuen | 1.04 | 12.27 | 31.41 | 93.0% |
| Betoro | 1.05 | 11.00 | 31.00 | 93.0% |
| Betinia | 1.05 | 10.00 | 36.00 | 92.6% |
| CampoBet | 1.05 | 10.00 | 36.00 | 92.6% |
| VBET | 1.03 | 13.00 | 29.00 | 92.4% |
| Betmaster | 1.04 | 13.00 | 22.00 | 92.3% |
| Casinomoto | 1.07 | 9.50 | 21.00 | 92.0% |
| Stake | — | 13.00 | 35.00 | — |
| BEST PRICE | 1.09 | 15.00 | 60.00 | 100.0% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.03–1.09 · 5.9% | 9.50–15.00 · 57.9% | 19.50–60.00 · 207.7% | 92.0–97.5% |
How did the Crvena Zvezda – Inter Club d'Escaldes odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Inter Club d'Escaldes drifted from 26.00 when odds opened on 23 Oct to 60.00 at kick-off, a 130.8% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | CRVENA ZVEZDA | DRAW | INTER CLUB D'ESCALDES |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 23 Oct (open) | 1.11 | 9.00 | 26.00 |
| Thu 29 Oct | 1.11 | 11.00 | 36.00 |
| Thu 5 Nov (kick-off) | 1.09 | 15.00 | 60.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 36.0%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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