Atalanta – Kairat Almaty odds
Atalanta went into the match as heavy favourites against Kairat Almaty.
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Atalanta – Kairat Almaty: closing odds analysis
- Atalanta were favourites: the closing odds implied a 82% chance of a home win, 6% for Kairat Almaty and 11% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Atalanta 1.17 at Betano, the draw 9.50 at Unibet, Kairat Almaty 20.00 at Unibet.
- Unibet had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.9%.
- Odds movement: the best price on the draw drifted from 8.25 at the opening to 9.50 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 72% chance of three or more goals and 49% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Atalanta or Kairat Almaty?
Atalanta, by a distance: the closing odds put 75.8 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Atalanta – Kairat Almaty?
It depended on the outcome: Betano was best on Atalanta, Unibet on the draw and Unibet on Kairat Almaty. Across all three outcomes Unibet paid out the most (96.9%) and Betmaster the least (90.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | ATALANTA | DRAW | KAIRAT ALMATY | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.14 | 9.50 best price | 20.00 best price | 96.9% |
| Merkur Bets | 1.16 | 8.50 | 15.00 | 95.6% |
| Betano | 1.17 best price | 7.80 | 15.50 | 95.5% |
| Spilhuset | 1.13 | 9.10 | 17.00 | 94.9% |
| SpreadEx | 1.13 | 9.00 | 17.00 | 94.4% |
| Stake | 1.14 | 8.40 | 15.00 | 94.1% |
| Mr Green | 1.11 | 9.50 best price | 17.00 | 93.9% |
| ComeOn | 1.14 | 8.32 | 14.36 | 93.7% |
| Bet25 | 1.15 | 8.60 | 12.00 | 93.5% |
| Expekt | 1.14 | 8.50 | 13.00 | 93.5% |
| LeoVegas | 1.14 | 8.50 | 13.00 | 93.5% |
| 888sport | 1.12 | 8.00 | 19.00 | 93.4% |
| Casino House | 1.12 | 8.00 | 18.00 | 93.2% |
| Casinomoto | 1.15 | 7.50 | 14.00 | 93.1% |
| Betoro | 1.15 | 7.50 | 14.00 | 93.1% |
| GetLucky | 1.13 | 8.24 | 14.23 | 92.9% |
| Casinostuen | 1.13 | 8.24 | 14.23 | 92.9% |
| bwin | 1.16 | 8.00 | 11.00 | 92.8% |
| VBET | 1.12 | 8.30 | 15.00 | 92.6% |
| Betinia | 1.14 | 7.50 | 14.00 | 92.4% |
| CampoBet | 1.14 | 7.50 | 14.00 | 92.4% |
| Betmaster | 1.14 | 7.60 | 11.00 | 90.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.17 | 9.50 | 20.00 | 99.0% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.11–1.17 · 5.4% | 7.50–9.50 · 26.7% | 11.00–20.00 · 81.8% | 90.9–96.9% |
How did the Atalanta – Kairat Almaty odds move before kick-off?
The best price on the draw drifted from 8.25 when odds opened on 23 Oct to 9.50 at kick-off, a 15.2% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | ATALANTA | DRAW | KAIRAT ALMATY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 23 Oct (open) | 1.13 | 8.25 | 22.00 |
| Thu 29 Oct | 1.22 | 7.30 | 13.00 |
| Thu 5 Nov (kick-off) | 1.17 | 9.50 | 20.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 49.1%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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