Anderlecht – Red Bull Salzburg odds
Anderlecht went into the match as clear favourites against Red Bull Salzburg.
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Anderlecht – Red Bull Salzburg: closing odds analysis
- Anderlecht were favourites: the closing odds implied a 48% chance of a home win, 27% for Red Bull Salzburg and 24% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Anderlecht 2.05 at Betano, the draw 4.00 at Stake, Red Bull Salzburg 3.70 at bwin.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.7%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Red Bull Salzburg shortened from 3.80 at the opening to 3.60 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 61% chance of three or more goals and 64% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Anderlecht or Red Bull Salzburg?
Anderlecht, clearly: the closing odds put 21.2 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Anderlecht – Red Bull Salzburg?
It depended on the outcome: Betano was best on Anderlecht, Stake on the draw and bwin on Red Bull Salzburg. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (95.7%) and Bet25 the least (91.2%).
| BOOKMAKER | ANDERLECHT | DRAW | RED BULL SALZBURG | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 2.05 best price | 3.80 | 3.40 | 95.7% |
| Merkur Bets | 1.96 | 4.00 best price | 3.50 | 95.7% |
| Spilhuset | 2.05 best price | 3.86 | 3.25 | 94.8% |
| bwin | 1.93 | 3.75 | 3.70 best price | 94.8% |
| Unibet | 2.00 | 3.80 | 3.40 | 94.6% |
| Casinomoto | 1.96 | 3.80 | 3.50 | 94.4% |
| Betoro | 1.96 | 3.80 | 3.50 | 94.4% |
| Casino House | 1.96 | 3.80 | 3.50 | 94.4% |
| Stake | 1.88 | 4.00 best price | 3.60 | 94.4% |
| SpreadEx | 1.95 | 3.90 | 3.40 | 94.0% |
| Betinia | 1.96 | 3.80 | 3.40 | 93.7% |
| CampoBet | 1.96 | 3.80 | 3.40 | 93.7% |
| LeoVegas | 1.88 | 3.95 | 3.50 | 93.4% |
| Expekt | 1.91 | 3.95 | 3.40 | 93.4% |
| VBET | 1.83 | 3.90 | 3.60 | 92.5% |
| Oddset | 1.92 | 3.70 | 3.45 | 92.5% |
| ComeOn | 1.93 | 3.81 | 3.32 | 92.4% |
| 888sport | 1.85 | 3.75 | 3.60 | 92.2% |
| Mr Green | 1.85 | 3.75 | 3.60 | 92.2% |
| GetLucky | 1.91 | 3.78 | 3.29 | 91.6% |
| Casinostuen | 1.91 | 3.78 | 3.29 | 91.6% |
| Bet25 | 1.90 | 3.95 | 3.15 | 91.2% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.05 | 4.00 | 3.70 | 99.2% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.83–2.05 · 12.0% | 3.70–4.00 · 8.1% | 3.15–3.70 · 17.5% | 91.2–95.7% |
How did the Anderlecht – Red Bull Salzburg odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Red Bull Salzburg shortened from 3.80 when odds opened on 23 Oct to 3.60 at kick-off, a 5.3% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | ANDERLECHT | DRAW | RED BULL SALZBURG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 23 Oct (open) | 1.95 | 3.95 | 3.80 |
| Thu 29 Oct | 1.94 | 3.85 | 3.70 |
| Thu 5 Nov (kick-off) | 2.05 | 4.00 | 3.60 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 64.3%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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