Slavia Prague – Arsenal odds
Arsenal went into the match as heavy favourites against Slavia Prague.
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Slavia Prague – Arsenal: closing odds analysis
- Arsenal were favourites: the closing odds implied a 74% chance of an away win, 9% for Slavia Prague and 17% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Slavia Prague 13.00 at VBET, the draw 6.25 at Unibet, Arsenal 1.32 at bwin.
- Unibet had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.6%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Slavia Prague drifted from 11.00 at the opening to 13.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 55% chance of three or more goals and 41% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Slavia Prague or Arsenal?
Arsenal, by a distance: the closing odds put 65.3 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Slavia Prague – Arsenal?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Slavia Prague, Unibet on the draw and bwin on Arsenal. Across all three outcomes Unibet paid out the most (97.6%) and Mr Green the least (92.2%).
| BOOKMAKER | SLAVIA PRAGUE | DRAW | ARSENAL | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 13.00 best price | 6.25 best price | 1.27 | 97.6% |
| Betano | 11.25 | 5.60 | 1.32 best price | 97.6% |
| Merkur Bets | 11.00 | 5.50 | 1.31 | 96.4% |
| VBET | 13.00 best price | 5.90 | 1.26 | 96.1% |
| ComeOn | 10.65 | 5.65 | 1.29 | 95.6% |
| Expekt | 11.00 | 5.60 | 1.29 | 95.5% |
| LeoVegas | 11.00 | 5.60 | 1.29 | 95.5% |
| Spilhuset | 12.00 | 5.80 | 1.26 | 95.3% |
| Stake | 12.00 | 6.00 | 1.25 | 95.2% |
| bwin | 8.75 | 5.50 | 1.32 best price | 94.9% |
| GetLucky | 10.55 | 5.59 | 1.28 | 94.8% |
| Casinostuen | 10.55 | 5.59 | 1.28 | 94.8% |
| Betinia | 10.00 | 5.33 | 1.30 | 94.6% |
| CampoBet | 10.00 | 5.33 | 1.30 | 94.6% |
| Betoro | 10.00 | 5.33 | 1.30 | 94.6% |
| Casino House | 10.00 | 5.33 | 1.30 | 94.6% |
| SpreadEx | 11.00 | 5.75 | 1.25 | 93.9% |
| Bet25 | 9.20 | 5.60 | 1.28 | 93.6% |
| Betmaster | 11.00 | 5.80 | 1.24 | 93.5% |
| Oddset | 8.00 | 5.50 | 1.30 | 92.9% |
| 888sport | 11.00 | 5.75 | 1.22 | 92.2% |
| Mr Green | 11.00 | 5.75 | 1.22 | 92.2% |
| BEST PRICE | 13.00 | 6.25 | 1.32 | 100.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 8.00–13.00 · 62.5% | 5.33–6.25 · 17.3% | 1.22–1.32 · 8.2% | 92.2–97.6% |
How did the Slavia Prague – Arsenal odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Slavia Prague drifted from 11.00 when odds opened on 22 Oct to 13.00 at kick-off, a 18.2% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | SLAVIA PRAGUE | DRAW | ARSENAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 22 Oct (open) | 11.00 | 6.00 | 1.38 |
| Wed 28 Oct | 9.75 | 5.80 | 1.34 |
| Wed 4 Nov (kick-off) | 13.00 | 6.25 | 1.32 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 40.6%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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