Fenerbahçe – Liverpool odds
Liverpool went into the match as heavy favourites against Fenerbahçe.
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Fenerbahçe – Liverpool: closing odds analysis
- Liverpool were favourites: the closing odds implied a 61% chance of an away win, 19% for Fenerbahçe and 21% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Fenerbahçe 6.00 at Unibet, the draw 4.90 at Unibet, Liverpool 1.62 at Betano.
- Unibet had the highest closing payout on the match result: 98.0%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Fenerbahçe drifted from 3.82 at the opening to 6.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 64% chance of three or more goals and 62% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Fenerbahçe or Liverpool?
Liverpool, by a distance: the closing odds put 42.0 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Fenerbahçe – Liverpool?
It depended on the outcome: Unibet was best on Fenerbahçe, Unibet on the draw and Betano on Liverpool. Across all three outcomes Unibet paid out the most (98.0%) and Bet25 the least (90.7%).
| BOOKMAKER | FENERBAHÇE | DRAW | LIVERPOOL | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 6.00 best price | 4.90 best price | 1.54 | 98.0% |
| Betano | 5.20 | 4.70 | 1.62 best price | 97.8% |
| VBET | 5.50 | 4.60 | 1.59 | 97.3% |
| Merkur Bets | 5.00 | 4.75 | 1.59 | 96.1% |
| Oddset | 5.00 | 4.50 | 1.60 | 95.5% |
| Spilhuset | 5.30 | 4.50 | 1.57 | 95.4% |
| LeoVegas | 5.25 | 4.70 | 1.55 | 95.4% |
| ComeOn | 4.95 | 4.56 | 1.59 | 95.2% |
| SpreadEx | 5.25 | 4.40 | 1.57 | 94.9% |
| Expekt | 5.20 | 4.60 | 1.55 | 94.8% |
| Betinia | 5.33 | 4.50 | 1.55 | 94.8% |
| CampoBet | 5.33 | 4.50 | 1.55 | 94.8% |
| Casinomoto | 5.33 | 4.50 | 1.55 | 94.8% |
| Betoro | 5.33 | 4.50 | 1.55 | 94.8% |
| Casino House | 5.33 | 4.50 | 1.55 | 94.8% |
| GetLucky | 4.91 | 4.51 | 1.58 | 94.5% |
| Casinostuen | 4.91 | 4.51 | 1.58 | 94.5% |
| bet365 | 5.25 | 4.50 | 1.53 | 93.8% |
| 888sport | 5.00 | 4.33 | 1.57 | 93.6% |
| Mr Green | 5.00 | 4.33 | 1.57 | 93.6% |
| Betmaster | 4.69 | 4.22 | 1.61 | 93.3% |
| bwin | 4.60 | 4.60 | 1.57 | 93.3% |
| Bet25 | 4.40 | 4.60 | 1.52 | 90.7% |
| Stake | — | 4.70 | 1.53 | — |
| BEST PRICE | 6.00 | 4.90 | 1.62 | 101.2% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 4.40–6.00 · 36.4% | 4.22–4.90 · 16.1% | 1.52–1.62 · 6.6% | 90.7–98.0% |
How did the Fenerbahçe – Liverpool odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Fenerbahçe drifted from 3.82 when odds opened on 22 Oct to 6.00 at kick-off, a 57.1% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | FENERBAHÇE | DRAW | LIVERPOOL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 22 Oct (open) | 3.82 | 3.80 | 1.90 |
| Wed 28 Oct | 5.10 | 4.45 | 1.68 |
| Wed 4 Nov (kick-off) | 6.00 | 4.90 | 1.62 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 61.7%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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