Cardiff City – West Ham odds
West Ham went into the match as clear favourites against Cardiff City.
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Cardiff City – West Ham: closing odds analysis
- West Ham were favourites: the closing odds implied a 50% chance of an away win, 27% for Cardiff City and 23% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Cardiff City 3.57 at ComeOn, the draw 4.26 at ComeOn, West Ham 1.96 at Stake.
- Betinia had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.2%.
- Odds movement: the best price on West Ham drifted from 1.80 at the opening to 1.96 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 67% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Cardiff City or West Ham?
West Ham, clearly: the closing odds put 22.2 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Cardiff City – West Ham?
It depended on the outcome: ComeOn was best on Cardiff City, ComeOn on the draw and Stake on West Ham. Across all three outcomes Betinia paid out the most (95.2%) and Bet25 the least (90.2%).
| BOOKMAKER | CARDIFF CITY | DRAW | WEST HAM | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betinia | 3.40 | 4.20 | 1.93 | 95.2% |
| CampoBet | 3.40 | 4.20 | 1.93 | 95.2% |
| Betoro | 3.40 | 4.20 | 1.93 | 95.2% |
| Casino House | 3.40 | 4.20 | 1.93 | 95.2% |
| Betano | 3.45 | 4.10 | 1.93 | 95.1% |
| Oddset | 3.50 | 4.00 | 1.93 | 94.9% |
| Stake | 3.35 | 4.00 | 1.96 best price | 94.5% |
| SpreadEx | 3.50 | 4.00 | 1.91 | 94.4% |
| Casinomoto | 3.33 | 4.20 | 1.90 | 93.9% |
| bwin | 3.50 | 3.90 | 1.90 | 93.6% |
| ComeOn | 3.57 best price | 4.26 best price | 1.80 | 93.4% |
| GetLucky | 3.53 | 4.22 | 1.79 | 92.7% |
| Casinostuen | 3.53 | 4.22 | 1.79 | 92.7% |
| 888sport | 3.40 | 3.90 | 1.85 | 91.7% |
| Mr Green | 3.40 | 3.90 | 1.85 | 91.7% |
| VBET | 3.16 | 3.89 | 1.90 | 90.9% |
| Betmaster | 3.30 | 3.75 | 1.86 | 90.3% |
| Bet25 | 3.15 | 4.20 | 1.81 | 90.2% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.57 | 4.26 | 1.96 | 97.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 3.15–3.57 · 13.3% | 3.75–4.26 · 13.6% | 1.79–1.96 · 9.5% | 90.2–95.2% |
How did the Cardiff City – West Ham odds move before kick-off?
The best price on West Ham drifted from 1.80 when odds opened on 29 Oct to 1.96 at kick-off, a 8.9% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | CARDIFF CITY | DRAW | WEST HAM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 29 Oct (open) | 3.70 | 4.20 | 1.80 |
| Sun 1 Nov | 3.60 | 4.30 | 1.90 |
| Wed 4 Nov (kick-off) | 3.57 | 4.26 | 1.96 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 67.1%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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