Bristol City – Wolves odds
Wolves went into the match as clear favourites against Bristol City.
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Bristol City – Wolves: closing odds analysis
- Wolves were favourites: the closing odds implied a 45% chance of an away win, 28% for Bristol City and 27% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Bristol City 3.58 at VBET, the draw 3.57 at ComeOn, Wolves 2.15 at Betano.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Bristol City drifted from 3.15 at the opening to 3.58 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 49% chance of three or more goals and 54% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Bristol City or Wolves?
Wolves, clearly: the closing odds put 17.8 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Bristol City – Wolves?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Bristol City, ComeOn on the draw and Betano on Wolves. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (95.3%) and Betmaster the least (90.1%).
| BOOKMAKER | BRISTOL CITY | DRAW | WOLVES | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 3.35 | 3.50 | 2.15 best price | 95.3% |
| Betinia | 3.40 | 3.50 | 2.12 | 95.1% |
| CampoBet | 3.40 | 3.50 | 2.12 | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 3.40 | 3.50 | 2.12 | 95.1% |
| Casino House | 3.40 | 3.50 | 2.12 | 95.1% |
| Stake | 3.55 | 3.55 | 2.02 | 94.5% |
| SpreadEx | 3.40 | 3.40 | 2.10 | 93.9% |
| ComeOn | 3.47 | 3.57 best price | 2.01 | 93.8% |
| bwin | 3.40 | 3.50 | 2.05 | 93.7% |
| Casinomoto | 3.40 | 3.50 | 2.05 | 93.7% |
| GetLucky | 3.43 | 3.53 | 1.99 | 92.8% |
| Casinostuen | 3.43 | 3.53 | 1.99 | 92.8% |
| 888sport | 3.30 | 3.25 | 2.10 | 92.0% |
| Mr Green | 3.30 | 3.25 | 2.10 | 92.0% |
| VBET | 3.58 best price | 3.37 | 1.91 | 90.9% |
| Betmaster | 3.20 | 3.20 | 2.06 | 90.1% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.58 | 3.57 | 2.15 | 97.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 3.20–3.58 · 11.9% | 3.20–3.57 · 11.6% | 1.91–2.15 · 12.6% | 90.1–95.3% |
How did the Bristol City – Wolves odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Bristol City drifted from 3.15 when odds opened on 29 Oct to 3.58 at kick-off, a 13.7% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | BRISTOL CITY | DRAW | WOLVES |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 29 Oct (open) | 3.15 | 3.60 | 2.15 |
| Sun 1 Nov | 3.35 | 3.55 | 2.20 |
| Wed 4 Nov (kick-off) | 3.58 | 3.57 | 2.15 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 53.6%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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