Borussia Dortmund – Real Betis odds
Borussia Dortmund went into the match as heavy favourites against Real Betis.
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Borussia Dortmund – Real Betis: closing odds analysis
- Borussia Dortmund were favourites: the closing odds implied a 58% chance of a home win, 20% for Real Betis and 22% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Borussia Dortmund 1.75 at bwin, the draw 4.60 at Stake, Real Betis 5.80 at VBET.
- Unibet had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.6%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Real Betis drifted from 4.10 at the opening to 5.80 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 61% chance of three or more goals and 59% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Borussia Dortmund or Real Betis?
Borussia Dortmund, by a distance: the closing odds put 38.1 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Borussia Dortmund – Real Betis?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Borussia Dortmund, Stake on the draw and VBET on Real Betis. Across all three outcomes Unibet paid out the most (97.6%) and Bet25 the least (91.1%).
| BOOKMAKER | BORUSSIA DORTMUND | DRAW | REAL BETIS | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.62 | 4.50 | 5.40 | 97.6% |
| Betano | 1.72 | 4.25 | 4.80 | 97.6% |
| VBET | 1.56 | 4.60 best price | 5.80 best price | 97.0% |
| Expekt | 1.60 | 4.40 | 5.20 | 95.7% |
| LeoVegas | 1.60 | 4.40 | 5.20 | 95.7% |
| Merkur Bets | 1.63 | 4.33 | 5.00 | 95.6% |
| Stake | 1.55 | 4.60 best price | 5.40 | 95.4% |
| Betinia | 1.62 | 4.50 | 4.75 | 95.2% |
| CampoBet | 1.62 | 4.50 | 4.75 | 95.2% |
| Casinomoto | 1.62 | 4.50 | 4.75 | 95.2% |
| Betoro | 1.62 | 4.50 | 4.75 | 95.2% |
| Casino House | 1.62 | 4.50 | 4.75 | 95.2% |
| bet365 | 1.70 | 4.33 | 4.33 | 95.2% |
| Spilhuset | 1.65 | 4.20 | 4.85 | 95.2% |
| ComeOn | 1.65 | 4.26 | 4.75 | 95.1% |
| GetLucky | 1.64 | 4.22 | 4.71 | 94.4% |
| Casinostuen | 1.64 | 4.22 | 4.71 | 94.4% |
| bwin | 1.75 best price | 4.10 | 4.10 | 94.4% |
| Oddset | 1.72 | 4.00 | 4.25 | 93.7% |
| SpreadEx | 1.54 | 4.33 | 5.25 | 93.6% |
| 888sport | 1.72 | 3.90 | 4.20 | 92.9% |
| Mr Green | 1.72 | 3.90 | 4.20 | 92.9% |
| Bet25 | 1.58 | 4.30 | 4.30 | 91.1% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.75 | 4.60 | 5.80 | 104.0% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.54–1.75 · 13.3% | 3.90–4.60 · 17.9% | 4.10–5.80 · 41.5% | 91.1–97.6% |
How did the Borussia Dortmund – Real Betis odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Real Betis drifted from 4.10 when odds opened on 22 Oct to 5.80 at kick-off, a 41.5% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | BORUSSIA DORTMUND | DRAW | REAL BETIS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 22 Oct (open) | 1.77 | 4.20 | 4.10 |
| Thu 29 Oct | 1.81 | 4.15 | 4.50 |
| Wed 4 Nov (kick-off) | 1.72 | 4.60 | 5.80 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 58.5%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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