Queens Park Rangers – Burnley odds
Queens Park Rangers went into the match as clear favourites against Burnley.
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Queens Park Rangers – Burnley: closing odds analysis
- Queens Park Rangers were favourites: the closing odds implied a 49% chance of a home win, 25% for Burnley and 26% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Queens Park Rangers 1.98 at bwin, the draw 3.75 at bwin, Burnley 4.00 at Betinia.
- Casino House had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.2%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Burnley drifted from 3.00 at the opening to 4.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 54% chance of three or more goals and 57% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Queens Park Rangers or Burnley?
Queens Park Rangers, clearly: the closing odds put 24.7 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Queens Park Rangers – Burnley?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Queens Park Rangers, bwin on the draw and Betinia on Burnley. Across all three outcomes Casino House paid out the most (95.2%) and Betmaster the least (90.1%).
| BOOKMAKER | QUEENS PARK RANGERS | DRAW | BURNLEY | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casino House | 1.96 | 3.66 | 3.75 | 95.2% |
| Betano | 1.95 | 3.55 | 3.90 | 95.2% |
| Betinia | 1.90 | 3.60 | 4.00 best price | 94.9% |
| CampoBet | 1.90 | 3.60 | 4.00 best price | 94.9% |
| Betoro | 1.90 | 3.60 | 4.00 best price | 94.9% |
| Stake | 1.91 | 3.65 | 3.80 | 94.3% |
| SpreadEx | 1.91 | 3.60 | 3.80 | 93.9% |
| bwin | 1.98 best price | 3.75 best price | 3.40 | 93.8% |
| Casinomoto | 1.88 | 3.50 | 4.00 best price | 93.7% |
| ComeOn | 1.85 | 3.67 | 3.91 | 93.6% |
| GetLucky | 1.84 | 3.63 | 3.88 | 92.9% |
| Casinostuen | 1.84 | 3.63 | 3.88 | 92.9% |
| Bet25 | 1.86 | 3.70 | 3.65 | 92.4% |
| 888sport | 1.90 | 3.50 | 3.70 | 92.4% |
| Mr Green | 1.90 | 3.50 | 3.70 | 92.4% |
| VBET | 1.87 | 3.50 | 3.56 | 90.8% |
| Betmaster | 1.86 | 3.35 | 3.65 | 90.1% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.98 | 3.75 | 4.00 | 97.9% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.84–1.98 · 7.6% | 3.35–3.75 · 11.9% | 3.40–4.00 · 17.6% | 90.1–95.2% |
How did the Queens Park Rangers – Burnley odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Burnley drifted from 3.00 when odds opened on 28 Oct to 4.00 at kick-off, a 33.3% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | QUEENS PARK RANGERS | DRAW | BURNLEY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 28 Oct (open) | 2.28 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| Sat 31 Oct | 2.15 | 3.70 | 3.50 |
| Tue 3 Nov (kick-off) | 1.98 | 3.75 | 4.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 56.7%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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