Preston – Sheffield United odds
Sheffield United went into the match as clear favourites against Preston.
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Preston – Sheffield United: closing odds analysis
- Sheffield United were favourites: the closing odds implied a 48% chance of an away win, 26% for Preston and 27% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Preston 3.81 at ComeOn, the draw 3.60 at bwin, Sheffield United 2.10 at bwin.
- Betinia had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.1%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Preston drifted from 2.90 at the opening to 3.81 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 52% chance of three or more goals and 57% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Preston or Sheffield United?
Sheffield United, clearly: the closing odds put 21.8 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Preston – Sheffield United?
It depended on the outcome: ComeOn was best on Preston, bwin on the draw and bwin on Sheffield United. Across all three outcomes Betinia paid out the most (95.1%) and Betmaster the least (90.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | PRESTON | DRAW | SHEFFIELD UNITED | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betinia | 3.66 | 3.60 best price | 2.00 | 95.1% |
| CampoBet | 3.66 | 3.60 best price | 2.00 | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 3.66 | 3.60 best price | 2.00 | 95.1% |
| Casino House | 3.66 | 3.60 best price | 2.00 | 95.1% |
| Betano | 3.70 | 3.55 | 2.00 | 95.1% |
| Stake | 3.75 | 3.55 | 1.95 | 94.2% |
| Casinomoto | 3.60 | 3.60 best price | 1.96 | 93.8% |
| ComeOn | 3.81 best price | 3.57 | 1.90 | 93.6% |
| bwin | 3.10 | 3.60 best price | 2.10 best price | 92.9% |
| GetLucky | 3.78 | 3.53 | 1.88 | 92.6% |
| Casinostuen | 3.78 | 3.53 | 1.88 | 92.6% |
| 888sport | 3.60 | 3.30 | 1.95 | 91.4% |
| Mr Green | 3.60 | 3.30 | 1.95 | 91.4% |
| VBET | 3.57 | 3.38 | 1.91 | 90.9% |
| Betmaster | 3.50 | 3.25 | 1.93 | 90.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.81 | 3.60 | 2.10 | 98.4% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 3.10–3.81 · 22.9% | 3.25–3.60 · 10.8% | 1.88–2.10 · 11.7% | 90.0–95.1% |
How did the Preston – Sheffield United odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Preston drifted from 2.90 when odds opened on 28 Oct to 3.81 at kick-off, a 31.4% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | PRESTON | DRAW | SHEFFIELD UNITED |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 28 Oct (open) | 2.90 | 3.55 | 2.33 |
| Sat 31 Oct | 2.92 | 3.66 | 2.32 |
| Tue 3 Nov (kick-off) | 3.81 | 3.60 | 2.10 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 56.7%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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