Portsmouth – Swansea City odds
Portsmouth and Swansea City went into the match almost level in the odds.
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Portsmouth – Swansea City: closing odds analysis
- No clear favourite: the closing odds implied 37% for Portsmouth, 30% for a draw and 34% for Swansea City.
- Best closing odds: Portsmouth 2.62 at 888sport, the draw 3.30 at bwin, Swansea City 2.88 at SpreadEx.
- Oddset had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Swansea City drifted from 2.65 at the opening to 2.88 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 44% chance of three or more goals and 52% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Portsmouth or Swansea City?
Neither side, really: the closing odds put only 2.9 percentage points between Portsmouth and Swansea City.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Portsmouth – Swansea City?
It depended on the outcome: 888sport was best on Portsmouth, bwin on the draw and SpreadEx on Swansea City. Across all three outcomes Oddset paid out the most (95.3%) and Betmaster the least (90.3%).
| BOOKMAKER | PORTSMOUTH | DRAW | SWANSEA CITY | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oddset | 2.60 | 3.25 | 2.80 | 95.3% |
| Betinia | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.83 | 95.2% |
| CampoBet | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.83 | 95.2% |
| Betoro | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.83 | 95.2% |
| Casino House | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.83 | 95.2% |
| Betano | 2.57 | 3.20 | 2.85 | 95.0% |
| SpreadEx | 2.55 | 3.10 | 2.88 best price | 94.1% |
| Stake | 2.47 | 3.25 | 2.85 | 94.0% |
| Casinomoto | 2.57 | 3.20 | 2.75 | 93.9% |
| bwin | 2.55 | 3.30 best price | 2.70 | 93.8% |
| ComeOn | 2.58 | 3.22 | 2.72 | 93.8% |
| Bet25 | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.75 | 93.3% |
| GetLucky | 2.55 | 3.19 | 2.70 | 92.9% |
| Casinostuen | 2.55 | 3.19 | 2.70 | 92.9% |
| 888sport | 2.62 best price | 3.00 | 2.70 | 92.1% |
| Mr Green | 2.50 | 3.00 | 2.75 | 91.2% |
| VBET | 2.45 | 3.06 | 2.74 | 90.9% |
| Betmaster | 2.48 | 3.00 | 2.70 | 90.3% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.62 | 3.30 | 2.88 | 96.8% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.45–2.62 · 6.9% | 3.00–3.30 · 10.0% | 2.70–2.88 · 6.5% | 90.3–95.3% |
How did the Portsmouth – Swansea City odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Swansea City drifted from 2.65 when odds opened on 28 Oct to 2.88 at kick-off, a 8.5% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | PORTSMOUTH | DRAW | SWANSEA CITY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 28 Oct (open) | 2.60 | 3.40 | 2.65 |
| Sat 31 Oct | 2.65 | 3.45 | 2.65 |
| Tue 3 Nov (kick-off) | 2.62 | 3.30 | 2.88 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Fewer than three goals was the likelier outcome in the closing odds. Both teams to score was priced at 52.1%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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