Charlton Athletic – Bolton odds
Charlton Athletic went into the match as clear favourites against Bolton.
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Charlton Athletic – Bolton: closing odds analysis
- Charlton Athletic were favourites: the closing odds implied a 44% chance of a home win, 29% for Bolton and 27% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Charlton Athletic 2.33 at Casino House, the draw 3.60 at bwin, Bolton 3.33 at Betinia.
- Betinia had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Bolton drifted from 3.10 at the opening to 3.33 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 53% chance of three or more goals and 57% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Charlton Athletic or Bolton?
Charlton Athletic, clearly: the closing odds put 14.5 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Charlton Athletic – Bolton?
It depended on the outcome: Casino House was best on Charlton Athletic, bwin on the draw and Betinia on Bolton. Across all three outcomes Betinia paid out the most (95.3%) and Betmaster the least (90.2%).
| BOOKMAKER | CHARLTON ATHLETIC | DRAW | BOLTON | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betinia | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.33 best price | 95.3% |
| CampoBet | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.33 best price | 95.3% |
| Betoro | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.33 best price | 95.3% |
| Betano | 2.18 | 3.45 | 3.30 | 95.1% |
| Casino House | 2.33 best price | 3.60 best price | 2.90 | 95.1% |
| Stake | 2.16 | 3.50 | 3.25 | 94.7% |
| Oddset | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.25 | 94.5% |
| Casinomoto | 2.16 | 3.40 | 3.25 | 93.9% |
| SpreadEx | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.30 | 93.9% |
| bwin | 2.20 | 3.60 best price | 3.00 | 93.8% |
| ComeOn | 2.08 | 3.47 | 3.32 | 93.4% |
| GetLucky | 2.06 | 3.44 | 3.29 | 92.6% |
| Casinostuen | 2.06 | 3.44 | 3.29 | 92.6% |
| Bet25 | 2.08 | 3.50 | 3.15 | 92.3% |
| 888sport | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 91.5% |
| Mr Green | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 91.5% |
| VBET | 2.07 | 3.35 | 3.13 | 90.8% |
| Betmaster | 2.09 | 3.20 | 3.15 | 90.2% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.33 | 3.60 | 3.33 | 99.3% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.06–2.33 · 13.1% | 3.20–3.60 · 12.5% | 2.90–3.33 · 14.8% | 90.2–95.3% |
How did the Charlton Athletic – Bolton odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Bolton drifted from 3.10 when odds opened on 28 Oct to 3.33 at kick-off, a 7.4% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | CHARLTON ATHLETIC | DRAW | BOLTON |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 28 Oct (open) | 2.28 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| Sat 31 Oct | 2.27 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| Tue 3 Nov (kick-off) | 2.33 | 3.60 | 3.33 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 57.4%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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