Blackburn Rovers – Stoke City odds
Blackburn Rovers and Stoke City went into the match almost level in the odds.
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Blackburn Rovers – Stoke City: closing odds analysis
- No clear favourite: the closing odds implied 35% for Blackburn Rovers, 29% for a draw and 36% for Stoke City.
- Best closing odds: Blackburn Rovers 2.80 at Stake, the draw 3.35 at Stake, Stoke City 2.66 at Betinia.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.1%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Blackburn Rovers drifted from 2.37 at the opening to 2.80 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 46% chance of three or more goals and 53% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Blackburn Rovers or Stoke City?
Neither side, really: the closing odds put only 1.5 percentage points between Blackburn Rovers and Stoke City.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Blackburn Rovers – Stoke City?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Blackburn Rovers, Stake on the draw and Betinia on Stoke City. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (95.1%) and Betmaster the least (89.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | BLACKBURN ROVERS | DRAW | STOKE CITY | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.60 | 95.1% |
| Betinia | 2.66 | 3.33 | 2.66 best price | 95.0% |
| CampoBet | 2.66 | 3.33 | 2.66 best price | 95.0% |
| Betoro | 2.66 | 3.33 | 2.66 best price | 95.0% |
| Casino House | 2.66 | 3.33 | 2.66 best price | 95.0% |
| Oddset | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.60 | 94.7% |
| Stake | 2.80 best price | 3.35 best price | 2.49 | 94.6% |
| bwin | 2.65 | 3.25 | 2.65 | 94.1% |
| SpreadEx | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.55 | 94.0% |
| Casinomoto | 2.62 | 3.33 | 2.60 | 93.8% |
| ComeOn | 2.67 | 3.27 | 2.58 | 93.6% |
| GetLucky | 2.65 | 3.24 | 2.55 | 92.8% |
| Casinostuen | 2.65 | 3.24 | 2.55 | 92.8% |
| Bet25 | 2.65 | 3.30 | 2.50 | 92.6% |
| 888sport | 2.75 | 3.00 | 2.50 | 91.2% |
| Mr Green | 2.75 | 3.00 | 2.50 | 91.2% |
| VBET | 2.65 | 3.10 | 2.50 | 90.9% |
| Betmaster | 2.60 | 3.05 | 2.50 | 89.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.80 | 3.35 | 2.66 | 96.9% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.60–2.80 · 7.7% | 3.00–3.35 · 11.7% | 2.49–2.66 · 6.8% | 89.9–95.1% |
How did the Blackburn Rovers – Stoke City odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Blackburn Rovers drifted from 2.37 when odds opened on 28 Oct to 2.80 at kick-off, a 18.1% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | BLACKBURN ROVERS | DRAW | STOKE CITY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 28 Oct (open) | 2.37 | 3.40 | 2.95 |
| Sat 31 Oct | 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.95 |
| Tue 3 Nov (kick-off) | 2.80 | 3.35 | 2.66 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 52.5%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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