Birmingham City – Millwall odds
Birmingham City went into the match as clear favourites against Millwall.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Corners
Cards
Birmingham City – Millwall: closing odds analysis
- Birmingham City were favourites: the closing odds implied a 49% chance of a home win, 25% for Millwall and 26% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Birmingham City 1.98 at bwin, the draw 3.70 at Bet25, Millwall 3.81 at ComeOn.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Millwall drifted from 3.50 at the opening to 3.81 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 54% chance of three or more goals and 56% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Birmingham City or Millwall?
Birmingham City, clearly: the closing odds put 23.4 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Birmingham City – Millwall?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Birmingham City, Bet25 on the draw and ComeOn on Millwall. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (95.3%) and Betmaster the least (90.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | BIRMINGHAM CITY | DRAW | MILLWALL | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.98 best price | 3.65 | 3.70 | 95.3% |
| Betinia | 1.96 | 3.66 | 3.75 | 95.2% |
| CampoBet | 1.96 | 3.66 | 3.75 | 95.2% |
| Betoro | 1.96 | 3.66 | 3.75 | 95.2% |
| Casino House | 1.96 | 3.66 | 3.75 | 95.2% |
| Oddset | 1.95 | 3.65 | 3.75 | 94.9% |
| SpreadEx | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.75 | 94.6% |
| bwin | 1.98 best price | 3.60 | 3.60 | 94.3% |
| Stake | 1.92 | 3.65 | 3.75 | 94.2% |
| Casinomoto | 1.94 | 3.60 | 3.66 | 93.8% |
| ComeOn | 1.87 | 3.67 | 3.81 best price | 93.5% |
| GetLucky | 1.85 | 3.63 | 3.78 | 92.5% |
| Casinostuen | 1.85 | 3.63 | 3.78 | 92.5% |
| Bet25 | 1.89 | 3.70 best price | 3.55 | 92.5% |
| 888sport | 1.90 | 3.40 | 3.70 | 91.7% |
| Mr Green | 1.90 | 3.40 | 3.70 | 91.7% |
| VBET | 1.87 | 3.47 | 3.61 | 90.9% |
| Betmaster | 1.90 | 3.35 | 3.50 | 90.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.98 | 3.70 | 3.81 | 96.4% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.85–1.98 · 7.0% | 3.35–3.70 · 10.4% | 3.50–3.81 · 8.9% | 90.0–95.3% |
How did the Birmingham City – Millwall odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Millwall drifted from 3.50 when odds opened on 28 Oct to 3.81 at kick-off, a 8.9% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | BIRMINGHAM CITY | DRAW | MILLWALL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 28 Oct (open) | 2.05 | 3.55 | 3.50 |
| Sat 31 Oct | 2.05 | 3.70 | 3.50 |
| Tue 3 Nov (kick-off) | 1.98 | 3.70 | 3.81 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 56.2%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
More championship odds
- Millwall – Queens Park RangersSat 21 Nov · 13:30
- Norwich City – Cardiff CitySat 21 Nov · 13:30
- Southampton – Derby CountySat 21 Nov · 13:30
- Bolton – PortsmouthSat 21 Nov · 16:00
- Lincoln City – WrexhamSat 21 Nov · 16:00
- Middlesbrough – Bristol CitySat 21 Nov · 16:00
- Sheffield United – WatfordSat 21 Nov · 16:00
- Stoke City – Birmingham CitySat 21 Nov · 16:00
- Swansea City – West Bromwich AlbionSat 21 Nov · 16:00
- West Ham – PrestonSat 21 Nov · 16:00
- Wolves – Charlton AthleticSat 21 Nov · 16:00
- Burnley – Blackburn RoversSun 22 Nov · 13:00
- championship odds ›
The odds imply probabilities; they are not predictions. OddsStat is a comparison service, not a bookmaker. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.