Lorient – Brest odds
Lorient went into the match as narrow favourites against Brest.
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Lorient – Brest: closing odds analysis
- Lorient were favourites: the closing odds implied a 38% chance of a home win, 32% for Brest and 29% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Lorient 2.53 at Oddset, the draw 3.30 at bwin, Brest 3.14 at VBET.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.1%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Brest drifted from 2.95 at the opening to 3.14 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 46% chance of three or more goals and 51% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Lorient or Brest?
Lorient, but only just: the closing odds put 5.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Lorient – Brest?
It depended on the outcome: Oddset was best on Lorient, bwin on the draw and VBET on Brest. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (96.1%) and Mr Green the least (91.2%).
| BOOKMAKER | LORIENT | DRAW | BREST | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 2.48 | 3.14 | 3.14 best price | 96.1% |
| Stake | 2.41 | 3.25 | 3.05 | 95.2% |
| Betinia | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.90 | 95.0% |
| CampoBet | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.90 | 95.0% |
| Casinomoto | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.90 | 95.0% |
| Betoro | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.90 | 95.0% |
| Casino House | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.90 | 95.0% |
| Oddset | 2.53 best price | 3.25 | 2.85 | 94.9% |
| bet365 | 2.45 | 3.20 | 3.00 | 94.9% |
| bwin | 2.40 | 3.30 best price | 2.95 | 94.5% |
| SpreadEx | 2.45 | 3.20 | 2.90 | 93.9% |
| Betmaster | 2.49 | 3.05 | 2.90 | 93.1% |
| ComeOn | 2.43 | 3.12 | 2.87 | 92.6% |
| GetLucky | 2.41 | 3.09 | 2.85 | 91.8% |
| Casinostuen | 2.41 | 3.09 | 2.85 | 91.8% |
| Bet25 | 2.35 | 3.30 best price | 2.75 | 91.6% |
| 888sport | 2.40 | 3.10 | 2.80 | 91.2% |
| Mr Green | 2.40 | 3.10 | 2.80 | 91.2% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.53 | 3.30 | 3.14 | 98.4% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.35–2.53 · 7.7% | 3.05–3.30 · 8.2% | 2.75–3.14 · 14.2% | 91.2–96.1% |
How did the Lorient – Brest odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Brest drifted from 2.95 when odds opened on 26 Oct to 3.14 at kick-off, a 6.4% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | LORIENT | DRAW | BREST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 26 Oct (open) | 2.47 | 3.40 | 2.95 |
| Thu 29 Oct | 2.50 | 3.33 | 2.92 |
| Mon 2 Nov (kick-off) | 2.53 | 3.30 | 3.14 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 50.9%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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